TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Over44c6,694$2,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.4155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under56c6,598$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.885269.2%36 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over46c6,541$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,542.1624159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.981,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c3,741$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over45c3,392$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.618444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over45c3,366$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.0420155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c3,201$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.666,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1103…bb2fbacked Under55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over67c2,820$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.4752461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Over44c2,301$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.6115644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over45c1,994$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.2564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under55c1,804$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.1164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under56c1,339$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75020247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under55c1,181$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.512146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under54c1,174$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.541,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x304e…bdf0backed Under3c1,170$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.76026.7%16 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce00…7ce0backed Over45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.112326.1%6 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over45c1,109$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.126233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under33c999.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3302,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44816550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under54c800$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c768.45$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.331,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.672744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29479650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Over45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.564932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under54c555$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.721446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…f951backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Over46c535$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.93043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6177…86e0backed Under57c499.96$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.862055%11 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over44c463.36$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under56c451.75$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.984047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80e6…7e59backed Under57c450$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0539…0529backed Under57c450$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.447950.6%40 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0af5…154cbacked Over45c414.67$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.073164.5%20 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb441…f757backed Under56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Under57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2209642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Under56c349.04$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.466544.6%29 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over44c340.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.915435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed Under56c323$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.883256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08a1…10dcbacked Under56c323$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8811858.5%69 W · 49 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under56c323$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8812450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over65c300$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10536243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over44c283.88$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.971,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Under56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Under56c267.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb076…2f98backed Under56c261.28$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.322955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Over46c218.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6112451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Under70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe284…4018backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Under55c199.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9911347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Under56c195$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.214753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over66c188.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Under56c180.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over61c176.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.761376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+33.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under58c172.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over41c164.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1221147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under56c163$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Under56c163$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2811050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over45c157.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6840548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under31c155.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1621046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Under65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006555.4%36 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e4…4f28backed Under39c152.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-52.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7798…8199backed Over45c133.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.532060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9abc…636abacked Over45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed Under56c130.36$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7529046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Under57c121.68$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62a1…0827backed Under56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.23259.4%19 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under55c119.19$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.191,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over46c115.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4515759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over44c114.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…e891backed Over45c111.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424c…82b5backed Under56c105$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over43c103.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under56c100.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.174,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7448…b4cfbacked Under57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Under70c92.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6511259.8%67 W · 45 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d4f…5922backed Under56c92.71$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over43c92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35c9…bc74backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034661.6%213 W · 133 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over44c90$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.410747.7%51 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a2…0c1abacked Under56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010447.1%49 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83f6…25b6backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.895846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceba…a705backed Over45c81.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under56c80.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.134443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c73.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.341,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e91…fffabacked Over51c73.16$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f3…d3e7backed Under14c72$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Under55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.51526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.24per pick50cpaid-48.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over44c66.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.293935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under26c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.925944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under56c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.44030%12 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under60c58.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5418853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.