TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,889
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,889 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x880b…c98bbacked Yes69c2,526$1,741 inLost-$1,740.732937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No31c2,203$682 inWon+$1,521.2179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No32c288.2$93 inWon+$194.9853842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes70c52$36 inLost-$36.46150.8%31 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No39c50$19 inWon+$30.512642.9%54 W · 72 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No32c43$14 inWon+$29.3745445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Yes65c38.46$25 inLost-$255048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Yes64c34.83$22 inLost-$22.417970.9%56 W · 23 L+9.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+23.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea47…d64bbacked Yes61c21.95$13 inLost-$13.394052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…162dbacked No78c19$15 inWon+$4.132770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3056…2b09backed Yes63c18.85$12 inLost-$11.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7840…51b5backed Yes66c17.33$11 inLost-$11.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.