TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x906b…9805backed Yes51c575.67$296 inLost-$296.162842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9caf…e8bdbacked No49c502.44$246 inWon+$256.2533049.1%162 W · 168 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No48c475.97$228 inWon+$247.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Yes46c302.75$141 inLost-$140.6656050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Yes51c255.57$129 inLost-$129.1612149.6%60 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x804f…13abbacked No53c209$110 inWon+$98.964942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x239b…421cbacked Yes52c190.69$99 inLost-$99.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No52c116.66$61 inWon+$5685449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No52c108.29$56 inWon+$51.9984443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes51c107.77$55 inLost-$555750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc98e…2341backed Yes48c103.87$50 inLost-$501361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Yes48c99.31$47 inLost-$47.1915351%78 W · 75 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No50c90.82$46 inWon+$45.353842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b24…de70backed No54c85.19$46 inWon+$39.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No50c80$40 inWon+$40.243752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost-$301330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x85ee…79a9backed Yes51c58.82$30 inLost-$303351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No53c56.6$30 inWon+$26.614953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…3e98backed Yes49c48.39$24 inLost-$23.959151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed No53c37.74$20 inWon+$17.7466046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed No53c31.49$17 inWon+$14.9418853.7%101 W · 87 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked No55c25.45$14 inWon+$11.452552%13 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.