NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc702be41db2d27e6b5c4140b1e17ad65bdac86431dfc4c67d8097febe69ea369
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 64c | 75,679$48,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,146.32 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 36c | 64,762$23,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,026.22 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 65c | 19,737$12,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,809.59 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d7…89edbacked Spurs | 34c | 17,615$5,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,989.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Spurs | 36c | 16,300$5,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,868 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Spurs | 33c | 12,036$3,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,971.86 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Thunder | 66c | 10,770$7,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.07 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Thunder | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Spurs | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 67c | 5,929$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…f949backed Spurs | 35c | 5,697$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 35c | 5,032$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.69 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…9560backed Spurs | 31c | 5,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 63c | 4,957$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.25 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 65c | 4,940$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…7353backed Thunder | 67c | 4,545$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 67c | 4,486$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.39 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 67c | 4,393$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.27 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 66c | 4,013$2,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.11 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 66c | 3,915$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.36 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Spurs | 38c | 3,530$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.92 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder | 66c | 3,097$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.11 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Spurs | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs | 35c | 2,665$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.84 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Spurs | 32c | 2,142$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.3 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Thunder | 66c | 2,134$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.54 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Thunder | 66c | 1,848$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 65c | 1,777$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.54 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 10c | 1,689$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Thunder | 67c | 1,567$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.16 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 34c | 1,520$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.69 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Thunder | 67c | 1,462$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Spurs | 35c | 1,400$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 36c | 1,374$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.67 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Spurs | 35c | 999.8$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Thunder | 68c | 999.61$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Spurs | 20c | 990$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Spurs | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 34c | 889.05$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Spurs | 34c | 854.76$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…25f9backed Spurs | 32c | 759.69$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Spurs | 29c | 699.9$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.97 | 262 | 33.6%88 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 65c | 617.33$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…5506backed Thunder | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Thunder | 70c | 607.14$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…6c20backed Thunder | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…a6aabacked Spurs | 35c | 564.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Spurs | 36c | 561.17$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Spurs | 21c | 560.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Thunder | 80c | 556.14$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed Spurs | 36c | 555.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Spurs | 34c | 519.78$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Thunder | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…1bdfbacked Spurs | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 33c | 428$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…21fbbacked Spurs | 33c | 391.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Thunder | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 28c | 373.5$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 23c | 339.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Thunder | 68c | 309.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Spurs | 34c | 308.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Spurs | 36c | 299.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…07a3backed Spurs | 32c | 298.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Spurs | 35c | 298.17$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Spurs | 31c | 284.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Spurs | 36c | 263.71$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Spurs | 30c | 234.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 33c | 230.1$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs | 12c | 228.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 19c | 217.43$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Spurs | 31c | 210.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Spurs | 34c | 208.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 11c | 202.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…ba8ebacked Spurs | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ed…4f29backed Thunder | 67c | 182.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Spurs | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 271 | 62.4%169 W · 102 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…cc2ebacked Spurs | 24c | 148.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Spurs | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Spurs | 35c | 143.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 65c | 130.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Spurs | 35c | 123.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Thunder | 65c | 122.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x119d…bec3backed Spurs | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Thunder | 69c | 109.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 11c | 107.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Thunder | 66c | 104.27$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 65c | 100.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…e9a1backed Thunder | 70c | 100.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Spurs | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Spurs | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Thunder | 69c | 98.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Thunder | 70c | 98.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Thunder | 68c | 94.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…eadfbacked Spurs | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Thunder | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Spurs | 16c | 90.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.