NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a9c267ba99755a943a68a47f6d6675bf787b8b509086bef7d324da6a04ffd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 58c | 86,812$50,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,261.14 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 35c | 59,238$20,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,504.69 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs | 7c | 22,221$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.47 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Spurs | 30c | 16,931$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.37 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 58c | 9,637$5,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.1 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Spurs | 7c | 7,146$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.23 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs | 7c | 6,377$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.38 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs | 7c | 3,870$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Thunder | 58c | 2,591$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Thunder | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Spurs | 30c | 1,967$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.22 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Thunder | 52c | 1,869$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,322$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…e4ddbacked Spurs | 27c | 1,315$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.93 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Spurs | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs | 13c | 1,189$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.03 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 47c | 1,127$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.69 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Thunder | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 58c | 955.4$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.25 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Spurs | 2c | 799.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 553 | 16.5%91 W · 462 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Thunder | 58c | 741.38$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Thunder | 58c | 741.38$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.38 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs | 19c | 637.39$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…7de9backed Spurs | 41c | 614.6$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.63 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 25cpaid | +51%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 58c | 614$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.88 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Spurs | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Spurs | 53c | 519.11$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.07 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 42c | 513.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.16 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Thunder | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Spurs | 43c | 403.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Thunder | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Spurs | 19c | 383.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Thunder | 58c | 380.4$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 42c | 339.98$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.79 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs | 9c | 306.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Spurs | 43c | 301.21$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…2d0dbacked Thunder | 72c | 278.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thunder | 63c | 276.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Spurs | 43c | 263$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Thunder | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Thunder | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 42c | 253.97$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Thunder | 57c | 209.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d9…dcb1backed Spurs | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed Spurs | 9c | 195.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…c2babacked Thunder | 58c | 182.16$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Thunder | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Spurs | 30c | 166.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Spurs | 21c | 166$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Spurs | 43c | 149$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…e124backed Thunder | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Thunder | 59c | 116.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Thunder | 59c | 116.64$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Spurs | 43c | 115.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…4216backed Spurs | 54c | 114.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Thunder | 35c | 111.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder | 59c | 110.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Thunder | 59c | 110.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Thunder | 59c | 110.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Thunder | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…cc2ebacked Spurs | 44c | 102.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Spurs | 41c | 102.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Spurs | 40c | 100.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Spurs | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634f…30a7backed Thunder | 58c | 98.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630b…34ffbacked Spurs | 43c | 90.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Thunder | 60c | 88.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Thunder | 58c | 88.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Thunder | 59c | 87.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Thunder | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe665…79bbbacked Thunder | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…0af7backed Spurs | 47c | 82.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Thunder | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder | 60c | 75.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Thunder | 75c | 74.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Spurs | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 279 | 42.7%119 W · 160 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…e89cbacked Spurs | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 57c | 60.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Spurs | 54c | 56.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Thunder | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Thunder | 59c | 51.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…409ebacked Spurs | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…a569backed Spurs | 43c | 47.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Thunder | 66c | 47.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Spurs | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013c…c475backed Spurs | 43c | 46.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked Spurs | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 49cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…1d65backed Spurs | 43c | 45.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Thunder | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a12…b81bbacked Thunder | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Spurs | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked Thunder | 69c | 43.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Thunder | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Thunder | 35c | 40.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.39per pick | 43cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Spurs | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Spurs | 43c | 35.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Spurs | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Thunder | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Thunder | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.