TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$214,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,175 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Spurs58c86,812$50,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,261.1428056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder35c59,238$20,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,504.6956646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Spurs7c22,221$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.479349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs40c20,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00018651.1%95 W · 91 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Spurs30c16,931$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.3714953%79 W · 70 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder58c9,637$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.12,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs7c7,146$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.231,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs7c6,377$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.3811946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs7c3,870$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.881,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Thunder58c2,591$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Thunder58c2,586$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.212650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Spurs30c1,967$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.226152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Thunder52c1,869$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.255050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder58c1,322$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.246,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked Spurs27c1,315$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.931533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Spurs41c1,219$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.995058%29 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Spurs13c1,189$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0317946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs47c1,127$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.691,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Thunder58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4827746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder58c955.4$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.252,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Spurs2c799.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Thunder58c741.38$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.3824847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Thunder58c741.38$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.383473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Spurs19c637.39$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6962…7de9backed Spurs41c614.6$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.633438.2%13 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick25cpaid+51%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder58c614$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.8854246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Spurs43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Spurs53c519.11$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.073836.8%14 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Spurs42c513.64$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.161,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Thunder58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Spurs43c403.91$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6816147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Thunder35c400$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26065762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Spurs19c383.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.82763%17 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Thunder58c380.4$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.774254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs42c339.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7912146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs9c306.92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.868783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a5…b591backed Spurs43c301.21$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Thunder72c278.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Thunder63c276.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8130842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Spurs43c263$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.099845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Thunder58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.625347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Thunder58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.623647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spurs42c253.97$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Thunder57c209.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.2956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d9…dcb1backed Spurs43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed Spurs9c195.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.831540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x537b…c2babacked Thunder58c182.16$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Thunder58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Spurs30c166.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.919941.4%41 W · 58 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Spurs21c166$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.715048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Spurs43c149$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0712450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Thunder58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.314742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Thunder59c116.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Thunder59c116.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.8221046.2%97 W · 113 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Spurs43c115.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.511154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2413…4216backed Spurs54c114.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.471442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Thunder35c111.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.438653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Thunder59c110.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Thunder59c110.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.320247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Thunder59c110.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.333159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Thunder58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd26e…cc2ebacked Spurs44c102.51$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Spurs41c102.28$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.33063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf9…fc07backed Spurs40c100.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401250%6 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Spurs43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4342740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x634f…30a7backed Thunder58c98.67$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.441346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Spurs43c90.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Thunder60c88.75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.53174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Thunder58c88.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0115759.2%93 W · 64 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Thunder59c87.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4380440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ab…8432backed Thunder58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.215446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe665…79bbbacked Thunder58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.213943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24d…0af7backed Spurs47c82.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Thunder61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Thunder60c75.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.566046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Thunder75c74.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4215044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Spurs42c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0527942.7%119 W · 160 L-14.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2030…e89cbacked Spurs43c65.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder57c60.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8460049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Spurs54c56.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.982035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed Thunder58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722450%12 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Thunder59c51.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b75…409ebacked Spurs43c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.643063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x58e4…a569backed Spurs43c47.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.34616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Thunder66c47.26$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0713950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x970f…f167backed Spurs43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x013c…c475backed Spurs43c46.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d02…8c5dbacked Spurs43c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick49cpaid-82.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2fe6…1d65backed Spurs43c45.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Thunder62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a12…b81bbacked Thunder67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.785100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Spurs47c44.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked Thunder69c43.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.562853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Thunder58c42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6426755.1%147 W · 120 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Thunder35c40.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371181.8%9 W · 2 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+103.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Spurs51c39.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Spurs43c35.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+40.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Spurs43c34.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155841.4%24 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Thunder58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Thunder62c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5417237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.