NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16416d860bb4292d22897b52b12ef561e462d28f5ef85adb0174c528a39219d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs | 25c | 40,450$10,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,050.83 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 49c | 16,152$7,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,939.67 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 49c | 11,217$5,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.12 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Thunder | 62c | 6,280$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.95 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder | 53c | 5,481$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,589.75 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 47c | 4,516$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.63 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Spurs | 49c | 4,057$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1103…bb2fbacked Spurs | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Thunder | 52c | 3,787$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.71 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 40c | 3,654$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 35c | 3,494$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.99 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Spurs | 66c | 2,707$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 41c | 2,363$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.78 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 1c | 2,161$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 63c | 2,061$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.08 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Spurs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder | 41c | 1,803$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.82 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Thunder | 47c | 1,778$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 30c | 1,669$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.53 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Thunder | 34c | 1,663$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.32 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 52c | 1,570$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Thunder | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…a0ebbacked Spurs | 66c | 1,507$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc20…8c98backed Spurs | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Spurs | 68c | 1,473$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Thunder | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 42c | 1,280$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.22 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Thunder | 76c | 1,200$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Spurs | 57c | 1,191$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.81 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 44c | 1,186$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.4 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 63c | 1,151$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 33c | 1,140$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.04 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Spurs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 67c | 1,013$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.44 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Spurs | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs | 27c | 918$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.86 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…2eabbacked Thunder | 34c | 914.71$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.71 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 27c | 766.04$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.33 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079d…18ffbacked Thunder | 38c | 699.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.99 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 70c | 696.05$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.57 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Thunder | 38c | 689.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Thunder | 41c | 644.78$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 33c | 610.85$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.28 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Thunder | 53c | 604.09$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…4362backed Thunder | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Thunder | 60c | 581.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 66c | 579.11$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.21 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 26c | 576.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.82 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 34c | 550.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.78 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 33c | 539.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.32 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs | 62c | 505.76$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.57 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…e3b8backed Spurs | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 57c | 499$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.09 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 19c | 491.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs | 63c | 481$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.36 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Spurs | 61c | 470$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 48c | 462.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.87 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Spurs | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…b37fbacked Spurs | 62c | 422.29$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.82 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0de…aa20backed Spurs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder | 33c | 411.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Thunder | 33c | 411.06$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.47 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 32c | 402.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Thunder | 35c | 388$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.2 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 46c | 387.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.03 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Thunder | 56c | 373.93$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…390abacked Spurs | 61c | 369.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 67c | 363.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.72 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Spurs | 61c | 350$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 65c | 334.78$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.79 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…ab20backed Spurs | 62c | 318.16$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Spurs | 67c | 314.58$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.77 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Thunder | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10ba…b202backed Spurs | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Thunder | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Thunder | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Thunder | 63c | 294.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 35c | 283.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.81 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 48c | 263$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.81 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Spurs | 50c | 262.44$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Spurs | 45c | 257.36$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Thunder | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Spurs | 22c | 250.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 34c | 248.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 34c | 246.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.49 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…4b72backed Spurs | 65c | 222$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Spurs | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 32.6%125 W · 259 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 27c | 208$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Spurs | 23c | 207.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Spurs | 27c | 207.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e5…d5a3backed Spurs | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…e7e2backed Thunder | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Spurs | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc02…f89cbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Spurs | 40c | 199.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Spurs | 47c | 196.6$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Spurs | 54c | 182.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Thunder | 61c | 180.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.