NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf1a78bc2f6cd1dfd995ae59d2b9a2803503661f1e6c071de77cab372298e73b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $276,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 35,708$18,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,093.61 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Over | 51c | 29,534$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,533.62 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 23,629$11,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,371.87 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Under | 47c | 21,169$9,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,949.39 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.92 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 52c | 19,000$9,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,120 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 48c | 18,481$8,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.93 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 11,187$5,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.9 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.95 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed Under | 49c | 9,794$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 9,596$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,614.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,230 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 49c | 8,601$4,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,214.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Over | 51c | 6,150$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 5,069$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,557.44 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 50c | 4,999$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.38 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 4,690$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.1 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Under | 49c | 4,104$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.08 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 72c | 3,069$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.78 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 50c | 2,959$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.47 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 49c | 2,884$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 2,739$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 49c | 2,670$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.08 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.98 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.98 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 49c | 2,111$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.49 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 52c | 1,874$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.79 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed Over | 52c | 1,562$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 50c | 1,079$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.48 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Over | 52c | 1,019$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.23 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed Under | 48c | 1,016$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.9 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 19c | 1,005$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 962.64$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.07 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a54…7c49backed Over | 51c | 953.83$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 48c | 899.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 894.99$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.55 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…411cbacked Under | 48c | 877.54$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 51c | 843.14$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.14 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…a298backed Over | 51c | 747.46$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…e9f3backed Under | 50c | 747$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 68c | 671.67$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 667.33$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Over | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0972…9d1ebacked Over | 53c | 656.6$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 52c | 598.08$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.08 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 49c | 595.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.71 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 51c | 584.24$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.28 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…9064backed Over | 53c | 577.36$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 525$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 19c | 513$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 50c | 506.23$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…6979backed Over | 53c | 466.04$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.04 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 52c | 455.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 409.81$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 409$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.23 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Over | 51c | 333$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 48c | 312.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 50c | 309.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.52 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…aebabacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 50c | 295.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.93 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Over | 51c | 268.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 268.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b40…3f97backed Under | 50c | 268$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.