TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$272,593
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,593 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c35,708$18,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,093.6164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over51c29,534$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,533.629945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c23,629$11,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,371.871,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Under47c21,169$9,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,949.393844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,799.9214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over52c19,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1202245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under48c18,481$8,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.9315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c11,187$5,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,445.955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8002166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7001,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9549244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under49c9,794$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c9,596$4,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23027549.5%136 W · 139 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under49c8,601$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.572268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Over51c6,150$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c5,069$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.4469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under50c4,999$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.3821446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over51c4,690$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under49c4,104$2,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.5724159.8%144 W · 97 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under49c3,878$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9003030%9 W · 21 L-5.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over72c3,069$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.7852461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under50c2,959$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.4714940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under49c2,884$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.161540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c2,739$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.66,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under49c2,670$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.085940.7%24 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under49c2,500$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21565939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2252339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under49c2,500$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.9843438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under49c2,500$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.9823742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under49c2,111$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.4986641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…4871backed Over52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9706055%33 W · 27 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98013642.6%58 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Over52c1,874$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.793275%24 W · 8 L+7.5wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c1,562$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over53c1,500$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Under49c1,100$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5392653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under50c1,079$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Over52c1,019$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.232744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…f908backed Under48c1,016$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.61353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.930448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under19c1,005$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.91,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025651.2%131 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4708148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under48c962.64$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.071,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a54…7c49backed Over51c953.83$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.834465.9%29 W · 15 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+55.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under48c899.99$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43568944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c894.99$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.5532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…411cbacked Under48c877.54$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.22714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-63.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over51c843.14$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.145453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa395…a298backed Over51c747.46$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.261573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x440d…e9f3backed Under50c747$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Over51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3431866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over49c700$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35723652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over68c671.67$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.171,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over50c667.33$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.671,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1252…e6e0backed Over53c660.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.384949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0972…9d1ebacked Over53c656.6$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-58.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30679650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c598.08$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under49c595.22$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7112146.3%56 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Over51c584.24$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2813759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Over53c577.36$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0411558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c525$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.752,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under19c513$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7619548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under50c506.23$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5817247.7%82 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+44.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec2d…896cbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2557944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Over53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.73557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xece7…6979backed Over53c466.04$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0412147.1%57 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c455.04$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c409.81$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c409$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.231,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.369652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Over51c333$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.178644.2%38 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c326.92$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9218650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under48c312.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under50c309.04$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.528852.3%46 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…aebabacked Under49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14125559.2%151 W · 104 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under50c295.86$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9315649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Over51c268.63$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.632343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c268.33$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.481,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b40…3f97backed Under50c268$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+52.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.