NBA · resolved market
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe23a754a08e5b4b0348f9059a3ae8bdd743e85d7f269820d32e93b8e1d5c5749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,108
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,108 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1543…baafbacked No | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 42c | 532.61$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 54c | 499.47$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 50c | 341.16$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.16 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 59c | 326.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd021…12b5backed No | 51c | 324$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Yes | 49c | 324$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes | 59c | 317.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.3 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed No | 41c | 241.07$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed No | 42c | 225.05$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…13abbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked No | 44c | 187$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 56c | 177.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 42c | 174.13$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 57c | 110.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed No | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…9e55backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 44c | 76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Yes | 56c | 63.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 50c | 51.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked No | 43c | 51.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…82b5backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f6…ef41backed Yes | 61c | 49.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78b…5c76backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed No | 44c | 46.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3276…666dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed No | 49c | 45.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed No | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x573e…e08abacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 40.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…4ee3backed Yes | 58c | 40.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffc…a5b7backed No | 45c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Yes | 54c | 38.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Yes | 35c | 36.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 57c | 34.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 55c | 31.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 39c | 29.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed No | 38c | 29.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa2…5e7cbacked No | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 44c | 22.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 188 | 53.7%101 W · 87 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed No | 55c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.