NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bcc428d368834c6dfbb4925f699079f65925fef69ad259274b88c5671aaa29e

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,357,887
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,375,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,357,887 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfea3…d227backed Spurs	45c	539,106$242,685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242,685.28	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Thunder	55c	414,498$227,832 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186,665.61	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Spurs	44c	295,065$129,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129,042.69	186	51.1%95 W · 91 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs	45c	293,143$131,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131,914.55	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder	55c	181,819$100,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,818.55	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Thunder	55c	180,000$99,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81,000	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Thunder	56c	147,662$82,499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65,163.01	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Thunder	55c	100,000$55,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,000	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder	54c	73,320$39,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33,577.65	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Spurs	46c	26,666$12,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,266.36	145	38.6%56 W · 89 L	-12.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder	56c	18,659$10,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,293.74	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Thunder	54c	14,784$7,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,833.44	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs	47c	11,415$5,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,309.98	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Thunder	47c	10,351$4,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,486.26	381	43%164 W · 217 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Spurs	46c	9,151$4,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,209.6	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Thunder	56c	9,000$5,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,960	91	59.3%54 W · 37 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs	43c	6,826$2,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,956.11	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Thunder	55c	6,545$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,945.45	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Thunder	55c	6,200$3,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,765.27	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Spurs	42c	6,076$2,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,551.75	242	52.5%127 W · 115 L	+18.7wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Thunder	55c	5,500$3,050 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.99	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder	56c	5,311$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,310.94	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Thunder	56c	4,900$2,719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,180.5	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder	56c	4,849$2,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,144.96	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Thunder	56c	4,700$2,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,091.5	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Thunder	56c	4,659$2,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,046.94	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Spurs	45c	4,444$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs	50c	4,318$2,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,151.07	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8452…cc80backed Spurs	23c	4,154$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.09	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Thunder	56c	4,000$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder	55c	3,702$2,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.31	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Spurs	45c	3,688$1,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,659.57	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Thunder	57c	3,556$2,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,529.25	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	71c	3,200$2,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930.51	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Spurs	45c	3,136$1,411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,411.27	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs	16c	2,426$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.93	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Thunder	56c	2,270$1,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.64	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.24per pick	56cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thunder	72c	2,254$1,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.95	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Thunder	56c	2,232$1,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$982.14	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Spurs	45c	2,223$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.35	74	58.1%43 W · 31 L	+6.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Spurs	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	174	41.4%72 W · 102 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd616…55aabacked Spurs	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	49cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs	16c	2,076$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.61	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Thunder	54c	2,069$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.92	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Thunder	57c	1,930$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.66	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Thunder	55c	1,818$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$818.18	591	40.8%241 W · 350 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Thunder	56c	1,800$999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.38	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Spurs	44c	1,540$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680.39	121	46.3%56 W · 65 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Thunder	55c	1,421$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.12	348	50.9%177 W · 171 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder	60c	1,328$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.64	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Spurs	16c	1,280$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	50cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Thunder	56c	1,223$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.21	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Thunder	76c	1,155$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.21	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Thunder	56c	1,148$643 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.21	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-28%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Spurs	44c	1,142$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	147	27.9%41 W · 106 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Spurs	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-11.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Thunder	55c	1,118$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.18	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Thunder	77c	1,111$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.53	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Thunder	55c	1,100$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Thunder	57c	1,092$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.21	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Thunder	55c	1,088$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.6	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Thunder	56c	1,024$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Thunder	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	256	51.2%131 W · 125 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Thunder	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Spurs	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	255	50.2%128 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Thunder	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Thunder	55c	919.24$506 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.45	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45d1…83dabacked Thunder	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Spurs	44c	909.09$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	315	51.7%163 W · 152 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder	57c	877.19$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.19	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Spurs	46c	860.43$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.8	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Thunder	55c	843.62$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.63	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x119d…bec3backed Thunder	57c	817.69$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.09	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Spurs	43c	748.39$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.03	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Spurs	46c	650$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Thunder	50c	630$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder	52c	600$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Spurs	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a5c…8645backed Spurs	29c	599.96$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.99	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.0wins	-0.27per pick	48cpaid	-57%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Thunder	55c	567.99$314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.75	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Thunder	48c	565.53$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.53	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	51cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder	57c	560.71$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.11	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Thunder	56c	550$308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242	251	55%138 W · 113 L	+9.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Thunder	55c	541.62$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.95	274	50%137 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Thunder	54c	534.04$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.66	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	-8.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac23…9064backed Thunder	56c	520.95$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229.22	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Thunder	58c	517.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.24	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf373…dc57backed Thunder	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561b…837ebacked Spurs	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder	47c	500$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Thunder	55c	467.67$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.47	488	52%254 W · 234 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Thunder	55c	458.18$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.18	95	58.9%56 W · 39 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Spurs	43c	455.03$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.06	157	59.2%93 W · 64 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cf2…a258backed Thunder	57c	450$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5877…4332backed Thunder	57c	450$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…e7aabacked Thunder	56c	446.43$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.43	75	46.7%35 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Spurs	31c	437.46$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.61	116	39.7%46 W · 70 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Spurs	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	178	48.3%86 W · 92 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Spurs	46c	434.78$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event