NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd84365ffb3b7c1ddf07f6b99a40d5abefa1c5edfa3b80a8a3ff1d6ecdf098e9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 9,845$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,287.09 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Under | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 40c | 4,566$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.59 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Over | 62c | 3,900$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.77 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 60c | 3,616$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2268…05bdbacked Over | 61c | 3,521$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.02 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 2,758$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.11 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 75c | 2,676$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.44 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 59c | 2,434$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.94 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,976$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.29 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 50c | 1,760$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 50c | 1,735$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.26 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…c640backed Under | 39c | 1,269$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 59c | 1,141$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.89 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 38c | 1,108$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.46 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 61c | 1,016$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 19c | 1,016$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.96 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…0d9cbacked Over | 61c | 999.49$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Over | 62c | 807.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.26 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 40c | 691.48$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.59 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 74c | 647.93$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…ed3dbacked Over | 59c | 600.81$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 597.36$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 40c | 555$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 47c | 547.64$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…672ebacked Over | 60c | 515.33$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…dd90backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under | 42c | 452.38$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 59c | 388.4$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.01 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 39c | 375.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Under | 49c | 372.4$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Over | 57c | 345.79$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed Over | 60c | 333.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.36 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 78c | 332.78$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 39c | 324.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 261.08$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 43c | 248.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 248$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Over | 60c | 230.52$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 196$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Over | 61c | 164.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 58c | 120.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 40c | 116.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 53c | 116.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 53c | 116.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 43c | 102.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 89.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 53c | 88.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 49c | 88.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 38c | 64.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6e…6dc3backed Over | 62c | 64.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…06f9backed Over | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 42c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Over | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Over | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee2d…ba67backed Over | 60c | 56.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 39c | 56.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 602 | 50.5%304 W · 298 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 53.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Over | 61c | 50.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…697dbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 61c | 48.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77cb…9c2abacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 57c | 33.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…f2a9backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2075…e419backed Over | 62c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e95…c044backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…b241backed Over | 80c | 31.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…21a9backed Over | 58c | 31.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…b31bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…6da8backed Over | 60c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 144 | 64.6%93 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…a089backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 65c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Over | 61c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.