NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86bc724fedc37172cb2bbe33953f404e5f0a9cfdf46512cdc621652d8a93cedb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $47,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $50,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,888 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6157…9fb4backed Over	51c	9,749$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,749.06	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+7.8wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	50c	6,364$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150.99	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	40c	3,598$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,154.54	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	61c	3,130$1,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,894.77	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	2,301$1,121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120.54	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	31c	2,200$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Under	49c	2,017$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.34	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	49c	2,000$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8a…d061backed Over	37c	1,836$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,151.63	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	39c	1,463$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over	39c	1,019$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.37	201	55.7%112 W · 89 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under	65c	999.46$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.65	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	44c	945.88$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.88	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under	67c	934.51$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-9.9wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Under	63c	805.21$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.96	106	50%53 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under	56c	767.51$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.81	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+85%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	61c	667.02$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.97	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over	59c	666$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.06	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.20per pick	57cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	61c	660.99$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.2	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over	51c	588.39$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.39	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under	61c	555$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.55	214	46.7%100 W · 114 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	49c	500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Over	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	56c	499$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.56	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Under	63c	396.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	38c	394.74$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.74	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over	51c	385.8$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.04	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under	66c	304.92$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	137	57.7%79 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Over	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	+6.0wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over	73c	209$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.43	195	48.2%94 W · 101 L	+12.4wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under	42c	207.26$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.05	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba0…1803backed Over	51c	193.71$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.92	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over	38c	183.59$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.06	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	50c	175$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.4	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	35c	155.75$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.24	211	47.4%100 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	37c	142.17$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.61	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under	16c	130$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	37c	126.95$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.98	320	45.3%145 W · 175 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over	34c	105.42$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.57	137	47.4%65 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb752…aea9backed Under	51c	104.12$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf5e…95e3backed Under	59c	103.14$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.85	210	46.2%97 W · 113 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Under	59c	101.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.12	202	47.5%96 W · 106 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under	59c	101.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.12	331	59.2%196 W · 135 L	+10.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	370	37.3%138 W · 232 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	854	49.4%422 W · 432 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over	39c	81.11$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.55	157	59.2%93 W · 64 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	37c	75.14$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.34	663	52.6%349 W · 314 L	+30.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under	70c	71.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	-5.5wins	-0.14per pick	70cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Over	42c	70.43$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over	37c	62.13$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.34	199	59.3%118 W · 81 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	47c	61.26$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.79	150	44.7%67 W · 83 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	38c	60$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over	37c	53.68$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	275	39.6%109 W · 166 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f3…be50backed Over	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	63	42.9%27 W · 36 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over	38c	50.93$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	39	35.9%14 W · 25 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over	51c	48.75$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.89	120	55.8%67 W · 53 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under	40c	48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	259	44%114 W · 145 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…8487backed Over	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.6wins	+0.33per pick	46cpaid	+70.8%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over	47c	43.74$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.18	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over	59c	37.24$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.27	255	54.5%139 W · 116 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Under	59c	37$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	172	37.2%64 W · 108 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8baa…0032backed Under	62c	32.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.21per pick	61cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x45a8…82e1backed Under	64c	31.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	102	57.8%59 W · 43 L	+6.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x041c…d5eebacked Under	66c	30.27$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd84d…cc32backed Under	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa64f…e598backed Over	40c	29.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.99	110	57.3%63 W · 47 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over	39c	26.66$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.26	211	49.3%104 W · 107 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Under	62c	25.4$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	84	53.6%45 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3301…fb69backed Under	63c	20.74$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under	59c	17.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event