NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce0cf0943879247424d004c69e6fe9d8ae96fefdc553c4e2d938c5216e296ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Spurs | 76c | 12,277$9,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,295.07 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs | 4c | 10,900$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.12 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 52c | 10,541$5,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,497.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Thunder | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Thunder | 32c | 10,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.8 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Thunder | 24c | 7,467$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 59c | 5,213$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.64 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Thunder | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 51c | 4,892$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 25c | 4,884$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Thunder | 26c | 4,444$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.55 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 25c | 4,434$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.5 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Spurs | 77c | 4,322$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.26 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Spurs | 31c | 4,255$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.18 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 34c | 3,488$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 49c | 3,179$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.6 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs | 41c | 3,050$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.9 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Spurs | 75c | 2,872$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.86 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Spurs | 39c | 2,707$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.32 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Spurs | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thunder | 51c | 2,101$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.37 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,970$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.95 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x007b…adc6backed Spurs | 59c | 1,855$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Spurs | 74c | 1,731$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.17 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 52c | 1,702$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.79 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked Thunder | 59c | 1,626$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.35 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 58c | 1,564$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.26 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 26c | 1,410$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.8 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 23c | 1,379$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.26 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…780cbacked Spurs | 61c | 1,314$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Spurs | 75c | 1,230$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.77 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Spurs | 60c | 1,090$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Spurs | 72c | 1,052$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 74c | 1,040$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.2 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Spurs | 75c | 1,022$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.17 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Spurs | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Spurs | 49c | 1,000$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.92 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 123 | 6.5%8 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Thunder | 25c | 999.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Spurs | 61c | 965$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.15 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 46c | 829.72$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.97 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 44c | 748.79$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.15 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Thunder | 24c | 745.36$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 49c | 744.3$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.66 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Spurs | 76c | 736.51$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.62 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Spurs | 39c | 721.56$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.41 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 34c | 678.83$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.01 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 42c | 654.25$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.16 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Thunder | 24c | 632.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.84 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs | 55c | 617$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.3 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs | 55c | 609.61$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.46 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Spurs | 36c | 558.48$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.35 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 46c | 499.38$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.32 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Thunder | 49c | 459.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.65 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder | 61c | 454.1$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Spurs | 51c | 442.38$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.61 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Thunder | 52c | 442.31$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.31 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…646bbacked Spurs | 53c | 410$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Spurs | 72c | 396.56$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Thunder | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder | 51c | 357.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.32 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Spurs | 50c | 348$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Spurs | 53c | 328.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.67 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Spurs | 38c | 300.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Spurs | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 355 | 31.8%113 W · 242 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…a60bbacked Thunder | 47c | 299.98$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Thunder | 35c | 287.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder | 51c | 286.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.36 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Thunder | 24c | 279.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.4 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Thunder | 57c | 276.31$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 469 | 59.1%277 W · 192 L | +28.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Spurs | 40c | 247.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder | 26c | 239.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 52c | 235.76$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Thunder | 31c | 226.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.33 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…c12fbacked Thunder | 62c | 210.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Spurs | 54c | 203.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.18 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Thunder | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4b…50c5backed Thunder | 25c | 194.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…35f8backed Thunder | 52c | 192.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Spurs | 55c | 184.8$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 38c | 181$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Spurs | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Spurs | 76c | 155.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 275 | 53.5%147 W · 128 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spurs | 72c | 151.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…e445backed Spurs | 75c | 150.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a79…8e4cbacked Thunder | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thunder | 58c | 148.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs | 47c | 148.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.48 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f517backed Thunder | 28c | 142.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Spurs | 75c | 138.61$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Spurs | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 49.7%173 W · 175 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…81f6backed Spurs | 74c | 134.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked Spurs | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…e656backed Thunder | 26c | 133.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Thunder | 47c | 127.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Thunder | 42c | 125$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 46c | 123.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 31c | 118.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.