NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec12446f2bf631c77c5073b9b6bf0719a110fb78843d8e4588546f6959c2daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 57c | 62,506$35,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,144.46 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 46c | 56,108$25,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,906.2 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 20,566$10,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,650 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 46c | 19,777$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,097.32 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 51c | 11,688$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.62 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 8,922$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…baafbacked Under | 47c | 8,000$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.3 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 54c | 6,296$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.3 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 6,036$2,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,897.7 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 21c | 5,958$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.63 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 48c | 5,554$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.57 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 4,912$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.88 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 54c | 4,430$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 39c | 3,497$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 73c | 3,443$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.67 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Under | 49c | 3,240$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.76 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 2,863$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 29c | 2,325$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.17 | 538 | 42%226 W · 312 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 45c | 1,736$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.96 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 1,680$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 1,591$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.48 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Under | 14c | 1,564$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.96 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 34c | 1,542$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.76 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,348$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.88 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 46c | 1,225$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.62 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 19c | 1,214$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 24c | 1,175$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 54c | 1,116$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.36 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 54c | 988$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Under | 45c | 940.07$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.03 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over | 53c | 924.23$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.39 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 52c | 910.22$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.91 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Over | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Over | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 29c | 900$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 896$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.86 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…994dbacked Over | 55c | 872.09$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 859.72$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed Under | 47c | 755.77$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 54c | 747$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.62 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 39c | 712.98$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 272 | 45.6%124 W · 148 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 77c | 649.61$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…b81bbacked Over | 56c | 631.43$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.83 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 627.24$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de7…1982backed Under | 50c | 600$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Under | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 52c | 596.6$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 49c | 591.62$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.53 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 47c | 586.13$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.25 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 20c | 552.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 55c | 547.05$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 55c | 519.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.66 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.32 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…896cbacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e1…6851backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…797abacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0c4abacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Under | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…8d02backed Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…92b2backed Under | 46c | 499.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 27c | 443.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.74 | 428 | 42.5%182 W · 246 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Over | 55c | 411.24$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.24 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 410$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.79 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 54c | 408.2$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.17 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 55c | 364.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…ce68backed Over | 53c | 344$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 53c | 334.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.34 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 71c | 332.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.47 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 46c | 211.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…31d7backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 440 | 52.5%231 W · 209 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…6f27backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Over | 53c | 184.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…7fc9backed Over | 55c | 177.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 7c | 175.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x65c6…bfbabacked Over | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Over | 47c | 163.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9125…4774backed Under | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 26c | 162.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 41c | 160.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 49c | 153$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 46c | 152$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.