NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8724de28f0dcdb71b55abc89f54a5788f7d7fc364160ec6a45b941d5c332988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Spurs, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,874,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,662,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,874,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,696 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs | 38c | 1,396,668$535,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535,221.01 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 35c | 895,206$313,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313,610.7 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Thunder | 59c | 847,458$500,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347,457.7 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Thunder | 59c | 834,594$496,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338,266.97 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Thunder | 58c | 805,555$471,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334,332.95 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac2…be3dbacked Thunder | 70c | 707,117$497,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209,305.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Spurs | 39c | 649,341$253,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,243.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Spurs | 23c | 568,408$128,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,123.25 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Spurs | 42c | 543,333$228,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,199.86 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Thunder | 62c | 529,999$328,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201,399.53 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Spurs | 41c | 487,805$200,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,000 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b9…ce00backed Spurs | 39c | 477,826$188,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,664.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Spurs | 40c | 473,850$190,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190,305.2 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…3b2bbacked Spurs | 27c | 377,986$103,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,836.6 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Thunder | 70c | 352,764$247,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,264.99 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Thunder | 59c | 343,696$202,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140,915.46 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…3eacbacked Spurs | 30c | 271,945$82,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,473.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd959…daf7backed Thunder | 73c | 200,098$145,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,958.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Thunder | 58c | 194,847$113,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,835.66 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Spurs | 30c | 181,825$54,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,399.48 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 62c | 180,586$112,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,307.28 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Thunder | 75c | 166,736$125,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,385.92 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Spurs | 41c | 135,000$55,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,349.98 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Thunder | 58c | 119,872$69,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,346.19 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…1edcbacked Spurs | 42c | 116,463$48,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,914.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Spurs | 38c | 105,238$39,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,990.58 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f59…bdf0backed Spurs | 40c | 100,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Thunder | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,999.99 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Thunder | 59c | 92,082$54,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,753.58 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spurs | 16c | 85,849$14,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,084.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 31cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Thunder | 60c | 83,333$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,333.33 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Thunder | 61c | 81,831$49,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,914.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 53cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 45c | 80,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.97 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Thunder | 61c | 78,635$47,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,983.98 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Thunder | 64c | 77,056$49,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,790.67 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Spurs | 41c | 75,000$30,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,900 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…c686backed Spurs | 9c | 73,159$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Thunder | 59c | 70,000$41,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,699.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Spurs | 42c | 69,500$29,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,090 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Thunder | 61c | 68,107$41,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,411.06 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked Spurs | 40c | 64,400$25,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,759.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Thunder | 62c | 62,903$38,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,009.63 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Spurs | 36c | 62,676$22,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,839.72 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Spurs | 10c | 60,345$6,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,273.41 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 59c | 57,648$34,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,648 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Spurs | 42c | 55,343$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…2b51backed Spurs | 5c | 53,477$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs | 10c | 52,526$5,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.21 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Thunder | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,000 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…f3f0backed Thunder | 60c | 50,000$29,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,080.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed Thunder | 58c | 50,000$29,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,999.91 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spurs | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,999.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Spurs | 41c | 48,780$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x127c…7456backed Thunder | 61c | 48,651$29,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,974.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 61c | 48,000$29,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,839.99 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Thunder | 74c | 44,922$33,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,462.5 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…a7dfbacked Thunder | 59c | 44,277$26,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,153.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Spurs | 7c | 44,148$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.89 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 70c | 43,019$29,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,063.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Spurs | 22c | 42,403$9,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,464.7 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 22c | 41,290$9,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,225.37 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Spurs | 16c | 38,964$6,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.72 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Thunder | 63c | 38,530$24,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,368.13 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Thunder | 59c | 37,565$22,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,401.57 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 75c | 35,028$26,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,774.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder | 61c | 34,192$20,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,231.94 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder | 59c | 33,560$19,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,759.78 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…6facbacked Spurs | 14c | 33,545$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.23 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…34cebacked Thunder | 58c | 33,056$19,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,883.51 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Spurs | 39c | 32,991$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800.45 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Thunder | 62c | 31,099$19,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,813.88 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Thunder | 78c | 30,826$24,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,781.7 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +217.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Spurs | 41c | 30,488$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 61c | 30,446$18,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,912.42 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs | 36c | 30,299$10,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,985.65 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Spurs | 19c | 29,336$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spurs | 13c | 29,016$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,676.93 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Thunder | 62c | 28,448$17,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,902.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Thunder | 66c | 27,851$18,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,479.45 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Thunder | 60c | 27,517$16,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,136.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Thunder | 59c | 26,000$15,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…097fbacked Spurs | 8c | 25,650$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Spurs | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Spurs | 31c | 24,950$7,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,814.79 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs | 41c | 24,390$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Thunder | 60c | 24,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…b4c0backed Spurs | 41c | 23,885$9,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,825.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +71%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x893a…29dcbacked Spurs | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…49acbacked Spurs | 42c | 23,350$9,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,807 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Spurs | 41c | 23,171$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Thunder | 65c | 22,976$14,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,074.65 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Thunder | 65c | 22,817$14,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,992.48 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Thunder | 60c | 22,500$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Spurs | 41c | 22,000$9,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,019.99 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Spurs | 41c | 20,201$8,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,282.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Spurs | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 60c | 20,000$12,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,939.25 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 27c | 20,000$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,349.98 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…31f1backed Spurs | 30c | 20,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Thunder | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.97 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.