NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc57bda0ee02b8aeda04f1282887dd480b0092391dc1c05c77707544fe16ef3b5

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Spursof Thunder, Spurs
Resolved: May 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $142,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $134,694

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,168 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7634…600dbacked Thunder	56c	25,300$14,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,233.05	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Spurs	46c	14,190$6,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,706.01	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Thunder	20c	12,837$2,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,567.32	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs	56c	7,284$4,088 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,196.58	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Spurs	55c	6,859$3,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,082.88	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+6.2wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Thunder	18c	4,609$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.7	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Thunder	34c	4,044$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.22	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Thunder	53c	3,686$1,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.58	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs	46c	3,601$1,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.87	552	51.3%283 W · 269 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Thunder	51c	2,936$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-4.8wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Thunder	56c	2,690$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	275	49.5%136 W · 139 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Thunder	30c	2,545$775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.22	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Thunder	26c	2,500$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	180	44.4%80 W · 100 L	+15.8wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Thunder	45c	2,205$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992	50	32%16 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder	52c	1,989$1,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026.98	524	61.6%323 W · 201 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spurs	55c	1,964$1,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$874.15	538	42%226 W · 312 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Thunder	29c	1,952$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.57	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs	45c	1,727$771 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$956.54	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Spurs	36c	1,562$563 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.95	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Spurs	51c	1,547$789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$758.16	305	51.5%157 W · 148 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Spurs	75c	1,299$974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.77	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Spurs	80c	1,288$1,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.89	649	48.2%313 W · 336 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Spurs	80c	1,137$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.4	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Spurs	77c	1,034$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.97	145	56.6%82 W · 63 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Thunder	25c	1,004$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.97	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Spurs	62c	932.5$578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.45	362	43.9%159 W · 203 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Thunder	18c	799.99$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	464	26.1%121 W · 343 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Spurs	74c	766.61$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.94	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+217.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs	61c	738.67$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.08	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd4…9cf7backed Thunder	53c	650.7$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.18	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs	36c	650$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spurs	63c	636.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.69	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs	50c	614$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.78	898	50.9%457 W · 441 L	+19.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder	26c	586$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.62	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Thunder	28c	562.12$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157	228	44.7%102 W · 126 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Thunder	33c	454.55$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	117	57.3%67 W · 50 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder	39c	447.2$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.41	688	38.5%265 W · 423 L	-26.5wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Thunder	17c	443.21$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.35	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Spurs	72c	392.39$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.87	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Spurs	50c	380$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Spurs	54c	371.31$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.31	65	55.4%36 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder	40c	368.45$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.38	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Thunder	32c	344.55$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.15	185	36.8%68 W · 117 L	-11.8wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Spurs	23c	333$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.41	539	45.3%244 W · 295 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Spurs	47c	328.51$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.69	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Spurs	77c	301.09$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.4	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Thunder	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	171	48%82 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…10f8backed Spurs	49c	299.29$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.59	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.9wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Thunder	7c	277.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Thunder	21c	273.69$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.46	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Thunder	24c	261.82$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	405	48.4%196 W · 209 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Thunder	44c	256.19$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.68	206	50.5%104 W · 102 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs	30c	249$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.3	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Thunder	28c	240.01$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	428	42.5%182 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…ca37backed Thunder	59c	228.81$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa350…454bbacked Thunder	7c	219.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.54	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	32cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Thunder	24c	202.08$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.49	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-73%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6325…cfaabacked Thunder	26c	200$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Thunder	33c	200$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	404	40.1%162 W · 242 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Spurs	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	854	49.4%422 W · 432 L	+15.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e07…e837backed Thunder	43c	191.37$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder	20c	185.94$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	521	50.9%265 W · 256 L	+18.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac04…e6e0backed Spurs	80c	185.84$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.17	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Thunder	42c	182$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.44	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Spurs	32c	175$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.8	234	41.5%97 W · 137 L	+13.6wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Spurs	23c	167$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.59	266	39.8%106 W · 160 L	+13.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Thunder	18c	166.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.04	263	45.6%120 W · 143 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder	20c	166$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.2	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32d6…a8f5backed Thunder	26c	164.52$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Spurs	73c	160.19$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.54	342	55.6%190 W · 152 L	+28.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+36%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Thunder	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	199	59.3%118 W · 81 L	+22.0wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4835…f22cbacked Spurs	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder	18c	134.23$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Spurs	68c	133.44$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.7	156	48.1%75 W · 81 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…ea68backed Thunder	37c	131.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.64	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5381…f932backed Thunder	27c	126.32$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.71	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Thunder	57c	116.5$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.9	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Spurs	63c	113.04$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.83	469	59.1%277 W · 192 L	+28.6wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Spurs	33c	110$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.38	212	42%89 W · 123 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Spurs	58c	109.91$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.48	160	33.1%53 W · 107 L	-17.2wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-43%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Spurs	45c	107.23$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.51	520	53.3%277 W · 243 L	+29.6wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Thunder	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	489	48.5%237 W · 252 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Spurs	23c	100$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77	455	44.8%204 W · 251 L	+21.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Thunder	31c	96.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+101.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Thunder	21c	93.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Spurs	68c	93$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.91	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Thunder	34c	91.78$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.46	272	45.6%124 W · 148 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed Spurs	55c	91.55$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.55	83	54.2%45 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x046a…0a3ebacked Spurs	68c	85.23$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.58	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Spurs	59c	84$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.63	274	63.5%174 W · 100 L	+34.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Spurs	66c	75.88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.88	96	54.2%52 W · 44 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Thunder	35c	75.24$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.31	376	52.4%197 W · 179 L	+12.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Thunder	40c	75.2$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	403	44.4%179 W · 224 L	-23.9wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Spurs	45c	73.33$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.33	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ab…e652backed Thunder	33c	72.73$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Thunder	22c	68.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+5.7wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Spurs	45c	66.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.67	97	48.5%47 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Thunder	31c	64.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Thunder	34c	64$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5Over won
Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event