TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,089

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Under5c39,786$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.5756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Over74c32,603$24,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,548.634456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under27c32,453$8,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,670.512,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under2c20,533$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.081,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Over50c11,706$5,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.1218044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Under2c9,307$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.4117042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Under0c7,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2331222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under2c4,786$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2519548.2%94 W · 101 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under31c3,685$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under2c3,000$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9620744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c2,648$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.661,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5062…0b34backed Over58c2,573$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.472268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+75.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over51c2,503$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.9664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ef8…8712backed Under23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under28c1,996$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.081,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c1,986$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under67c1,835$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.226,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc71…2c40backed Under14c1,771$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.954738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36056043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under54c1,222$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.8811048.2%53 W · 57 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under29c1,212$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.81,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Under64c1,212$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.1736243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Under2c1,031$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Over33c1,013$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.784531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1b…722abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under6c999.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Under2c952.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15372.7%1 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-73%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Under12c880.36$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under68c764.76$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.33757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb502…9d8bbacked Under15c664.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030055.7%167 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae8f…1cc3backed Over38c646.25$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.65446.3%25 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under60c628.95$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.5252150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6303…9556backed Under71c615.83$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43518853.2%100 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42b…1f13backed Over70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under50c500$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.182,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over74c455$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.98348.2%40 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under77c441.62$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.692259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over46c435.04$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.0452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under77c402.87$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31013757.7%79 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21665762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6121574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20431354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over32c294.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2120155.7%112 W · 89 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over33c294.42$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.265435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Under68c293.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017028.8%49 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c291$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Under5c273.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.728332.5%27 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over80c257.83$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.839455.3%52 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under49c248.14$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1115044.7%67 W · 83 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…421cbacked Over79c246.86$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…16c4backed Over72c236.96$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.964431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5381…f932backed Over47c211.66$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.182030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Under23c211.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.54944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc926…8058backed Under69c208.23$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over50c200.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1640344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5440…c640backed Under52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045843.1%25 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under57c175.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Over40c170.91$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7540548.4%196 W · 209 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over28c165.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c164.04$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca85…7453backed Over35c163.61$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.616346%29 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under66c151.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Under24c146.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f6…38e8backed Under9c144.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.672334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Under69c144.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9317848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86aa…0d32backed Under36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b9d…874abacked Over36c138.4$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c0…2713backed Over34c138$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.081346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under67c131.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2919959.3%118 W · 81 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under78c128.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005265.4%34 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over22c115.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9266352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x630f…5501backed Over27c109.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.495461.1%33 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+42.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7485449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Over30c96.53$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.578563.5%54 W · 31 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Over31c96.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3510948.6%53 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over32c94.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7727539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc059…a1edbacked Over78c81.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8712254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c77.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under48c77.74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf3c…bec3backed Over34c70.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.594245.2%19 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe53c…e569backed Under50c70.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.141747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e74…19fabacked Under68c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339949.5%49 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under50c67.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under50c67.66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8321849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…7dcbbacked Over77c64.29$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.792070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over34c62.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.295048%24 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1525944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154548.9%22 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9736…43c7backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd793…49b0backed Over73c56.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.162766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under55c52.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3180440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2745542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacba…40a1backed Under69c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under46c48.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Over77c48.05$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.053080%24 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3301…fb69backed Under23c45.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under55c43.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8878639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed Over47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.551,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.