NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323b1b35d0e216e49aefa8e38a5ee52333195edab7fd9f760ba07c0677f5f3c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 5c | 39,786$2,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.57 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Over | 74c | 32,603$24,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,548.6 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 27c | 32,453$8,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,670.51 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 2c | 20,533$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.08 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Over | 50c | 11,706$5,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.12 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Under | 2c | 9,307$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.41 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 0c | 7,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 2c | 4,786$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,685$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 2c | 3,000$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 39c | 2,648$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.66 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5062…0b34backed Over | 58c | 2,573$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 2,503$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.96 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Under | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 28c | 1,996$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.08 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 1,986$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 67c | 1,835$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed Under | 14c | 1,771$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 54c | 1,222$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.88 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 29c | 1,212$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Under | 64c | 1,212$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.17 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Under | 2c | 1,031$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Over | 33c | 1,013$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…722abacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 6c | 999.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Under | 2c | 952.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…48f2backed Under | 12c | 880.36$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 68c | 764.76$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Under | 15c | 664.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Over | 38c | 646.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.6 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 628.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.52 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Under | 71c | 615.83$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…1f13backed Over | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 500$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 74c | 455$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 77c | 441.62$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 46c | 435.04$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Under | 77c | 402.87$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 32c | 294.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 33c | 294.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.26 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Under | 68c | 293.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 28.8%49 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 291$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Under | 5c | 273.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 80c | 257.83$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 49c | 248.14$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…421cbacked Over | 79c | 246.86$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…16c4backed Over | 72c | 236.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5381…f932backed Over | 47c | 211.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Under | 23c | 211.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc926…8058backed Under | 69c | 208.23$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…0fd7backed Under | 57c | 175.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 40c | 170.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 28c | 165.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 45c | 164.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…7453backed Over | 35c | 163.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 66c | 151.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Under | 24c | 146.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Under | 9c | 144.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Under | 69c | 144.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 178 | 48.3%86 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…0d32backed Under | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…874abacked Over | 36c | 138.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c0…2713backed Over | 34c | 138$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 67c | 131.78$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.29 | 199 | 59.3%118 W · 81 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 78c | 128.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 22c | 115.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630f…5501backed Over | 27c | 109.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed Over | 30c | 96.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Over | 31c | 96.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 32c | 94.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 78c | 81.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 48c | 77.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 77.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…bec3backed Over | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Under | 50c | 70.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…19fabacked Under | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 50c | 67.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 50c | 67.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…7dcbbacked Over | 77c | 64.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 34c | 62.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9736…43c7backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd793…49b0backed Over | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 55c | 52.96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…40a1backed Under | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 48.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Over | 77c | 48.05$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…fb69backed Under | 23c | 45.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 55c | 43.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Luguentz Dort: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Spurs vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Thunder: Odd/Even ScoreOdd won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.