TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x943b…e35e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Asian League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT4825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.89
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$175
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.46
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Qatar be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.76
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.16
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.96
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.42
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Tunisia vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Türkiye O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)backed Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$149.99
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$216
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.82
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+900%+$171
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
FC Seoul vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44.99
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Henan FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$66.37
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.88
Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Tōkyō Verdy vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$116.9
FC Tōkyō vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$136.89
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.49
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$61.45
Henan FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.27
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.68
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$146.98
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$104.85
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.89
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Viking FK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
Will Degerfors IF win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.