Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe327990c04babac318f24ae22920685401213d44e1e26f6d3c9204bfdf77a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 16,915$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 3c | 8,626$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.12 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 11c | 5,312$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 9c | 4,117$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.85 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 3c | 3,021$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 3c | 3,001$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 3c | 2,667$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 4c | 2,140$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…6fcbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,860$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 3c | 1,720$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,686$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 1,675$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,476$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 7c | 1,450$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 10c | 1,432$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,239$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 2c | 1,230$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 3c | 1,033$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 8c | 999.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 6c | 766.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 10c | 710.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…e8c1backed Yes | 3c | 694.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 15c | 677.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 6c | 623.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 5c | 578.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 3c | 530$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…454bbacked Yes | 9c | 526.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 3c | 483.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 4c | 429.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Yes | 5c | 425.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 11c | 397.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 5c | 392.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 3c | 379.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b47…f367backed Yes | 3c | 344.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6d…b276backed Yes | 11c | 321.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 10c | 238.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4765…ca11backed Yes | 7c | 228.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 7c | 217$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd54e…2e45backed Yes | 5c | 202.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 11c | 183.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 10c | 146.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f74…8741backed Yes | 9c | 137.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 11c | 118.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 10c | 103.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 12.1%11 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a2…a587backed Yes | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.