Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af8a133eab0fa9ef86245050f38a0aeb6ab65147ac80db28f3d6bd8fbd82f13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 9c | 13,734$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 11c | 9,338$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.31 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3913…83cabacked Yes | 0c | 8,645$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…ad85backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,897$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,576$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 11c | 1,473$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,280$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 2c | 855.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 2c | 833.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 10c | 819.92$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 12c | 644.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…9591backed Yes | 8c | 617.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 20.6%28 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 11c | 608.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 594.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 10c | 510.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 490.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 10c | 480.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…37bfbacked Yes | 2c | 469.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Yes | 11c | 446.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 11c | 434.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 11c | 434.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 2c | 416.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 12.1%11 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 11c | 347.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 11c | 313.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 7c | 309.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 4c | 306.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x231d…4bdfbacked Yes | 9c | 287.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 11c | 264$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…dcebbacked Yes | 11c | 260.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 11c | 232.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 11c | 216.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…364ebacked Yes | 8c | 178.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Yes | 11c | 173.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 8c | 173.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Yes | 15c | 168.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 11c | 158.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 12c | 128.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…4b74backed Yes | 12c | 124.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…5096backed Yes | 12c | 119$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8503…dc65backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…2140backed Yes | 11c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed Yes | 12c | 99.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.