Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee2045297ea36cb440faaa953ebfe8767a7a993ac128c7e6396c1c8257e2e2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 15,961$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 8,627$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 5c | 6,942$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.71 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 4c | 3,321$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.84 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 1c | 3,211$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 5c | 3,152$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 12c | 2,883$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.31 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 7c | 2,253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 6c | 2,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bff…5c18backed Yes | 4c | 1,956$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 5c | 1,950$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,816$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 4c | 1,360$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.76 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 1,293$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…c698backed Yes | 4c | 1,136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,062$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Yes | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 10c | 999.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 9c | 863.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 5c | 840.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 4c | 681.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…a1c0backed Yes | 6c | 569.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yes | 4c | 514.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 54 | 1.9%1 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 4c | 444.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Yes | 6c | 374.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 4c | 313.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 7c | 309.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 263.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 8c | 263.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954a…8bcfbacked Yes | 9c | 234.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…a6b2backed Yes | 5c | 231.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc803…57b9backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes | 10c | 198.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 13c | 195.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…7750backed Yes | 7c | 180.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 12c | 177.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 10c | 175.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 9c | 161.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…0cdfbacked Yes | 13c | 155.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 13c | 128.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 13c | 114.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…90aabacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.