Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227f527675c5bae3e3db75eb20df60600434c9232e69ab48ee76a3240056e217
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 9c | 60,707$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.6 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 11,727$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.15 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 11c | 10,588$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.33 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 7,813$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ced…d59fbacked Yes | 8c | 5,823$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.79 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,190$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.16 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Yes | 8c | 1,232$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…e2f2backed Yes | 1c | 1,072$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 7c | 999.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835d…f8dbbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 9c | 682.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…c698backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed Yes | 9c | 452.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 259 | 37.5%97 W · 162 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf83…da82backed Yes | 8c | 430.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +12.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 6c | 399.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes | 8c | 367.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 335 | 10.1%34 W · 301 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977f…0981backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 143 | 23.1%33 W · 110 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954d…cd39backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 8c | 269.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 11c | 177$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…787dbacked Yes | 9c | 161.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…bb74backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf0…be9cbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…c720backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…4938backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c6…2f43backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa3…39b2backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.