Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69ea879edcb89b70f829c2d54cf84df70a088ea10c3409dd6efd1049deadfd83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 12c | 25,164$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.65 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 77c | 20,987$16,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,856.52 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 19,238$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.67 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 12c | 9,180$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.66 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 24c | 5,990$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.43 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 11c | 5,447$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.2 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes | 36c | 2,794$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.96 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…4871backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff5…8091backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 18c | 2,057$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.59 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 75c | 1,568$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.23 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…004dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,380$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 16c | 1,288$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked Yes | 23c | 1,276$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.59 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 1,139$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 16c | 1,135$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.05 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 73c | 1,134$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.47 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 11c | 1,127$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.05 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 13c | 1,050$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 13c | 933.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…c698backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…b4b5backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 823.77$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.65 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 12c | 816.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 16c | 732.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Yes | 38c | 665.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.98 | 338 | 43.5%147 W · 191 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 12c | 639.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 99 | 7.1%7 W · 92 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…0180backed Yes | 35c | 604.69$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 79c | 591$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.85 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 23c | 571.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 74c | 554.67$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.43 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 12c | 541.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 12c | 540.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8baa…f299backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…7934backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 22c | 457.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…6cf2backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5933…ecb7backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…6a57backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 392.87$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 25c | 391.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 12c | 360$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Yes | 16c | 304.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Yes | 35c | 271.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 174 | 42%73 W · 101 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 13c | 270.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 37c | 267.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…e1e7backed Yes | 12c | 266.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 11c | 257.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…6359backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 11.4%13 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…9591backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 20.6%28 W · 108 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 18c | 245.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed No | 60c | 244.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.97 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 29.8%70 W · 165 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed Yes | 21c | 238.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 31c | 230$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…6c17backed Yes | 43c | 228.35$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 195.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 21c | 194.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 12c | 188$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 23c | 185.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 17c | 171.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4841…1767backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…a1c0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…4fd0backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 12c | 161.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 38c | 151.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…dcebbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 12c | 120.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…e4d3backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 283 | 26.1%74 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.