Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e0d9935e3c96937eba2e0a370db18203e8cd13e42b29708b35924fe27135725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 15c | 33,475$5,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021.22 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 11,449$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…926abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…5861backed Yes | 15c | 6,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 246 | 20.3%50 W · 196 L | -21.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…1819backed Yes | 15c | 1,033$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,011$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.61 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…9903backed Yes | 15c | 999.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 124 | 30.6%38 W · 86 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 17c | 699.97$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…c698backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…bd50backed Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 12c | 309.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 15c | 268$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…5062backed Yes | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 15c | 206.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…bdacbacked Yes | 16c | 201.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…8de6backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 139 | 30.9%43 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…6412backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 365 | 30.7%112 W · 253 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…aaf5backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 26.7%28 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…fa07backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829c…e098backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…e614backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…f4ffbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…9a30backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 27.8%78 W · 203 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdeb…50dfbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 15c | 106.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…bf95backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…8acdbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…2ad9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddd…5ca4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 16c | 99.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Yes | 16c | 98.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 15c | 96.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd9…0e33backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b2…8f39backed Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…4b74backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 15c | 81.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a80…9608backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…5dd4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 173 | 12.7%22 W · 151 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd35…9325backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa031…ba6bbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7a…6345backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…b713backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 17.6%21 W · 98 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 1 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 0 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: New Zealand 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.