TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb72d…f11e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT17223.3%40 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$81.21
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+561%+$561.01
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$175.74
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: England (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+252.5%+$222.76
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$132
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$69.65
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.88
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$111.1
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$83.27
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Valencia CF 3 - 3 RC Celta de Vigo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$66.53
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$115.56
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will Villarreal CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$73.81
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.87
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.34
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.51
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.27
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.42
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$1,328.57
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Exact Score: NK Celje 3 - 2 KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Sporting CP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$35.82
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$24.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 2 Tottenham Hotspur FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 3 Manchester City FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Exact Score: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv 3 - 1 PFK CSKA Sofia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
PAOK vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Team to Advancebacked FK Dynamo Kyiv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: MH Hapoel Tel Aviv 1 - 3 PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$257.16
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$247
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.31
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.59
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.22
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+525%+$124.63
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$49.2
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.43
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,692.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+1,692.5%+$1,269.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.