TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$597,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$565,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 401 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Yes21c35,705$7,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,498.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c35,620$7,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.8219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes9c23,267$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Yes21c22,381$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes11c22,105$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.0274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No78c21,289$16,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,683.5813748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes21c19,837$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,166.12,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes15c14,532$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.6227235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No79c12,658$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.235352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes2c12,550$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.713727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c11,686$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.871,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes0c10,400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick6cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes21c10,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes21c9,524$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes15c9,181$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.6688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes21c6,300$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32368026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes22c6,150$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3532045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b90…52aebacked Yes14c6,092$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes22c6,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32013630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No79c6,000$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.9990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No79c5,500$4,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1559347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked No78c5,095$3,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.863452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No78c4,861$3,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.761,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes20c4,814$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.816550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes21c4,684$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.561,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes14c4,315$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes21c4,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked No79c3,797$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed No79c3,462$2,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.9418948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed No78c3,203$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed No79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6304860.4%29 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…d4b1backed Yes22c2,851$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.83316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-68.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No79c2,740$2,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.3941850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes21c2,619$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5506142.6%26 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes20c2,557$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.3110951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed No79c2,532$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.654959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002119%4 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes21c2,342$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7585…ea79backed Yes21c2,228$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes20c2,217$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.81442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Yes17c2,172$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.0711636.2%42 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes21c2,164$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4513847.1%65 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes21c2,143$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507048.6%34 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Yes13c2,087$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2705935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No77c2,067$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.412955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No80c2,060$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.0240655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked No80c2,012$1,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.411090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes22c2,003$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.587427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005328.3%15 W · 38 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No77c1,910$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.6810765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No80c1,820$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.1553344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Yes22c1,783$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.925038%19 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No79c1,765$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2514162.4%88 W · 53 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed Yes21c1,671$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514734%16 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No79c1,628$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.853745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes23c1,601$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.2524146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No79c1,512$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.4684549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Yes21c1,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes13c1,451$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes22c1,316$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.556229%18 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-29.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes23c1,299$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.02933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70e9…836abacked Yes8c1,266$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked No79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes11c1,188$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5892…8bf3backed Yes22c1,150$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes20c1,111$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes13c1,049$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.926160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No80c1,030$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0130057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0210850%54 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29fe…2ebfbacked No79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ef…f1a8backed Yes20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Yes22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked Yes22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c999.98$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes21c987.28$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes16c966.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.672,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No80c935.13$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+22.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Yes14c893.97$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.795856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Yes16c875.41$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes23c870.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x276b…8a8bbacked No80c835.14$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes21c815.39$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.235658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04ac…07a6backed Yes4c812.82$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked No79c766.26$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.911258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes22c761.48$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4754340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No77c760.82$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.482673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes17c755.69$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.591735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No80c755.25$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+87.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes21c742.48$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9228824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes14c739.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.968159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No78c709.33$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5735941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079a…d3dfbacked Yes19c700$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid+79.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes14c700$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6660%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0676…8a28backed Yes21c699.71$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes11c675.64$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7517337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes15c671.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes11c642.54$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2cd…607ebacked No80c640.71$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.