TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2cd…607e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Asian League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$60.12
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+295.4%+$147.69
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$549.36
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$199.34
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.83
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$213.78
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+138.7%+$61.05
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$111.52
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+403.6%+$40.36
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Peru vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+730.1%+$146.03
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+302.7%+$90.8
Cyprus vs. Moldova: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick76cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$61.31
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$196.84
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Manresabacked Basquet Club Andorra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$69.46
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Bilbao Basket vs. Manresabacked Bilbao Basket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.91
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$55.67
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$53.62
BC Dubai vs. Anadolu Efesbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.36
Monaco vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$131.38
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketballbacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$182.41
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$210.42
Joventut vs. Gran Canariabacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$100
Barcelona vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$157.96
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-80.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$121.42
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsbacked Sam Houston Bearkats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.19
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$863.68
North Alabama Lions vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eaglesbacked Florida Gulf Coast Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$901Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$254.14
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$130.71
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$866Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+27.2%+$235.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$129.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$83.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$965.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will voter turnout be 80%+ in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$792Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.