Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73afd8a5d2d9b2cbfbb91d60ec14fcd032183c6dc4706c4f39d6d4a2f93a14c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 30c | 2,465$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 71c | 2,092$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.14 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 28c | 1,300$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.72 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,146$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.53 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 332.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 74c | 106.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 29c | 104.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under | 75c | 91.73$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 88.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…5294backed Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 73c | 27.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4436…cf98backed Under | 72c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 73c | 19.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Under | 72c | 18.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.