Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd26be67eb8063684a18f894ad63acd1640f9b8eca67301985d331e2336b9ae86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.43 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 3,946$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.72 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 51c | 3,663$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.1 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 2,703$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.58 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 52c | 2,078$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.95 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,474$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Over | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 1,191$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.59 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 839.83$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.88 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 726$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.41 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…095ebacked Over | 50c | 639.12$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 51c | 618.9$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.64 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 428.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.45 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 44c | 358$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 45c | 299.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.15 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 292.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 287.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Over | 51c | 229.41$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e2…264cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 194$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 57c | 187.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 49c | 173.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 48c | 91.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 84.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd5…d8d3backed Under | 52c | 60.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 53c | 56.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 56.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +11.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 45c | 54.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Under | 52c | 43.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Under | 52c | 34.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695f…1b67backed Over | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…3b36backed Under | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 50c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.