Asian League · resolved market
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89cfce598695c7ed44795b0339921b8aea79461dd382ef5a305c2a435462d97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,127$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 983.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.39 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 74c | 826.88$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.89 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 42c | 418.93$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.9 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 397.81$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.96 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 361.27$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 309.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.54 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 55c | 299.94$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1973…9fb5backed Over | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…4b74backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 177.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 6c | 167.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 29c | 160.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 26c | 125$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 98.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 15c | 97.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Over | 15c | 97.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…3e68backed Under | 71c | 95.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 31c | 95.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 26c | 90$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 39c | 75.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 51c | 71.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…d0bfbacked Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 63.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8293…aaeebacked Over | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Over | 70c | 42.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 80c | 31.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 59c | 25.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 73c | 23.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…4e3bbacked Over | 66c | 17.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.