TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe6b…b068

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$551.08
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.86
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$353.14
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$405.29
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$47.81
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$196.19
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Stars vs. Capitalsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$227.5
Oilers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Ducks vs. Rangersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$88.04
Utah vs. Penguinsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$61.36
Ducks vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+100%+$60
Bruins vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$55.38
Golden Knights vs. Flyersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
Penguins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+63.9%+$38.36
Red Wings vs. Krakenbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Stars vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$24.29
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Hurricanes vs. Bruinsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Canucks vs. Lightningbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+150%+$45
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+203%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.2
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)backed Shanghai Shenhua FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$222.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.7
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$675.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$398.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+100%+$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$117.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Granada CF win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.