Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Rival Esports vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x130e688e7ca597e1142d84df9453c957165189ca19b1cdf9f362eff1a7941093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TrinitYof Rival Esports, TrinitY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TrinitY | 50c | 3,385$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.12 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…1b33backed Rival Esports | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Rival Esports | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed TrinitY | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Rival Esports | 50c | 799.94$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.97 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rival Esports | 48c | 753.54$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.7 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Rival Esports | 5c | 656$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed TrinitY | 57c | 586.56$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed TrinitY | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…a227backed Rival Esports | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked TrinitY | 51c | 419.52$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.54 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Rival Esports | 50c | 364$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Rival Esports | 5c | 328$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rival Esports | 23c | 278.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Rival Esports | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked TrinitY | 50c | 216$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Rival Esports | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Rival Esports | 49c | 202.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TrinitY | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Rival Esports | 50c | 192.7$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Rival Esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Rival Esports | 54c | 186.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Rival Esports | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Rival Esports | 50c | 153.85$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…9404backed Rival Esports | 50c | 147.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Rival Esports | 50c | 136.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Rival Esports | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed TrinitY | 52c | 96.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Rival Esports | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TrinitY | 50c | 73.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed TrinitY | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed TrinitY | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed TrinitY | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…015fbacked Rival Esports | 50c | 42.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rival Esports | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked TrinitY | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Rival Esports | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Rival Esports | 50c | 31.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Rival Esports | 49c | 31.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Rival Esports | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed Rival Esports | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked TrinitY | 65c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Rival Esports | 49c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…d98cbacked Rival Esports | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Rival Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked TrinitY | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Rival Esports vs TrinitY (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: RVL (-1.5) vs TrinitY (+1.5)TrinitY won
- Valorant: Rival Esports vs TrinitY - Map 1 WinnerTrinitY won
- Valorant: Rival Esports vs TrinitY - Map 2 WinnerTrinitY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.