NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46758a2a0c8b04fbb3e3cd3a8e8296c2defbf5844baa69c19330f744ccbf559a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Penguins, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Penguins | 37c | 121,490$45,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,180.3 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 69c | 94,482$64,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,711.88 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 35c | 30,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Penguins | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Penguins | 56c | 16,148$9,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,042.9 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Penguins | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Stars | 62c | 10,591$6,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.49 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Penguins | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Stars | 61c | 7,997$4,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Penguins | 40c | 7,541$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,016.31 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Stars | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars | 61c | 7,292$4,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.68 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 60c | 6,663$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,642.95 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Stars | 62c | 6,415$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.47 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Stars | 62c | 5,747$3,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penguins | 63c | 5,163$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.91 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…c4cdbacked Stars | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stars | 60c | 4,782$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.51 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Penguins | 40c | 4,639$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.96 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…24c8backed Stars | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe931…0acabacked Penguins | 37c | 4,000$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 61c | 3,450$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.24 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Penguins | 58c | 3,371$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.3 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Penguins | 39c | 3,320$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.8 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stars | 62c | 3,276$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.55 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Stars | 60c | 2,496$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.42 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stars | 61c | 2,341$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.01 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 57c | 2,326$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.87 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penguins | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Penguins | 40c | 2,187$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.76 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf1…9eaebacked Penguins | 43c | 2,084$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.05 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 40c | 2,035$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.28 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Stars | 45c | 2,001$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.65 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Stars | 38c | 1,949$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.83 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 44c | 1,912$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.02 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Stars | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.64 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 51c | 1,789$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.76 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 46c | 1,785$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.1 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Penguins | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 61c | 1,686$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.48 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 62c | 1,654$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.52 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Penguins | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 45c | 1,495$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.2 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Penguins | 38c | 1,405$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 56c | 1,300$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Stars | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 50c | 1,235$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.43 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 63c | 1,180$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.78 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Stars | 44c | 1,127$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.12 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…e5aabacked Stars | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Penguins | 69c | 1,062$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Stars | 61c | 1,034$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.16 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penguins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Stars | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Stars | 60c | 996.67$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Stars | 33c | 945.76$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.31 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Stars | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Penguins | 40c | 860.96$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Penguins | 68c | 851.76$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.2 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Stars | 63c | 850$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.5 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Stars | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Penguins | 67c | 803$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.04 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Penguins | 40c | 780$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 62c | 749.83$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.93 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Stars | 63c | 725.87$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.57 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Stars | 59c | 700$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Stars | 39c | 642.95$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.95 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Penguins | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Stars | 37c | 601.78$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.18 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 51c | 597.25$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 39c | 574.19$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.93 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…6c34backed Stars | 61c | 574.09$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…178fbacked Penguins | 40c | 500.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Penguins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…2481backed Penguins | 40c | 500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Stars | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Stars | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…ea2dbacked Stars | 60c | 499.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Stars | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Penguins | 64c | 458.22$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars | 41c | 430.99$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Stars | 61c | 425.85$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Penguins | 38c | 400$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Penguins | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Penguins | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 61c | 374.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Stars | 21c | 367$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.22 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 64c | 345.11$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Stars | 36c | 333.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 46c | 333.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 63c | 309$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Penguins | 44c | 301.29$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Penguins | 39c | 301.21$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Stars | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Penguins | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Stars | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Starsthis page
- Penguins vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.