NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2974f6b6bd58c1c2e3185a31cfaf56ce2f346863f3bf3d91957ea7bea3de8649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $267,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x869b…c625backed Golden Knights | 59c | 80,000$47,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,799.99 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Flyers | 41c | 79,574$32,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,625.26 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 12,520$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.63 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Flyers | 31c | 9,000$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.67 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 70c | 8,822$6,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.05 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Golden Knights | 59c | 8,449$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers | 48c | 8,358$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.54 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 8,280$4,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.62 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 30c | 7,847$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 59c | 6,713$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.08 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 5,876$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.14 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Flyers | 41c | 5,593$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Golden Knights | 57c | 3,889$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.33 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Golden Knights | 59c | 3,193$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.16 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Flyers | 41c | 3,100$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Golden Knights | 58c | 2,554$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.69 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 41c | 2,525$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.13 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flyers | 41c | 2,342$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.24 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flyers | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Flyers | 41c | 2,054$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.09 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Flyers | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Flyers | 5c | 1,771$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Flyers | 41c | 1,763$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.69 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Golden Knights | 59c | 1,712$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.06 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Flyers | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.9 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flyers | 43c | 1,654$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.03 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,598$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.18 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flyers | 41c | 1,509$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.69 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Golden Knights | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,421$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.81 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 40c | 1,278$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Flyers | 41c | 1,181$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.21 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Golden Knights | 54c | 1,175$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 56c | 1,156$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.27 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f3…122ebacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,117$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,092$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.97 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c84…3badbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 1,065$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Flyers | 48c | 1,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Flyers | 40c | 1,030$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Flyers | 52c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acc…e6eebacked Golden Knights | 55c | 1,000$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.84 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flyers | 43c | 952.74$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.68 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Flyers | 42c | 950$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ea…524dbacked Golden Knights | 60c | 916.67$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…4b6abacked Flyers | 41c | 902.41$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked Flyers | 41c | 898.78$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights | 52c | 886$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 41c | 854$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.14 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Flyers | 43c | 804.94$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Flyers | 41c | 798.63$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.44 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flyers | 44c | 789.74$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.49 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 41c | 770.69$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flyers | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…e73fbacked Flyers | 30c | 667.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…7645backed Flyers | 42c | 665$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.3 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Flyers | 45c | 658.15$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.17 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Flyers | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 586.21$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.21 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Flyers | 41c | 583$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Flyers | 43c | 560$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 29c | 541.43$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.37 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 52c | 538$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 58c | 536.42$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.68 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Flyers | 38c | 520.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 273 | 53.8%147 W · 126 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Golden Knights | 63c | 500$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d96…0b38backed Flyers | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…cec1backed Golden Knights | 59c | 476$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Flyers | 41c | 472$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…a925backed Flyers | 42c | 465.48$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Flyers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Golden Knights | 58c | 462.94$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.43 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…c0d5backed Golden Knights | 59c | 457.41$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Golden Knights | 58c | 438$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.96 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb079…5feabacked Flyers | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Flyers | 26c | 395.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.14 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Golden Knights | 58c | 389$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…b225backed Golden Knights | 58c | 383$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…61b1backed Flyers | 42c | 383$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…5090backed Flyers | 42c | 381$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…8276backed Golden Knights | 58c | 381$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…b045backed Golden Knights | 58c | 378$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e99…2d10backed Flyers | 42c | 378$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…8767backed Flyers | 42c | 374$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…db82backed Flyers | 42c | 374$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…7685backed Golden Knights | 58c | 374$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x227a…94debacked Golden Knights | 58c | 374$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flyers | 44c | 370.71$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…ab59backed Golden Knights | 58c | 364$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb843…4149backed Flyers | 42c | 364$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…87d4backed Flyers | 42c | 364$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…1e9dbacked Golden Knights | 58c | 364$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…ac3ebacked Golden Knights | 58c | 363$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…1ebfbacked Flyers | 42c | 363$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6218…1818backed Golden Knights | 58c | 363$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb122…735bbacked Flyers | 42c | 363$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Flyersthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.