Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c4e4a1e0d6f84a244ba70aba9d9cb5fcfd845e870ab5671ecd5328f49b0da35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Shenhua FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 53c | 20,245$10,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,515.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 13,918$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,541.4 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 2,874$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.22 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 1,022$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 44c | 963.67$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.01 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…b068backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 63c | 599.24$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 545.3$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 11c | 286.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 262.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.32 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 36c | 249.49$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 242.71$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 45c | 220.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 37c | 209$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 49c | 197.76$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.82 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 45c | 192.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 33c | 182.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 36c | 164.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…3e21backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 69c | 161.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 57c | 140.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…1cabbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 53c | 135.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 79c | 121.3$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 116.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 56c | 104.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 68c | 100.96$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 43c | 95.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 53c | 86.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 58c | 79.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 71.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 64.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49f…98c8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 78c | 61.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 49c | 57.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 46c | 47.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…b7aebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 67c | 42.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 40.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 40c | 38.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 50c | 32.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 31.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 31.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 64c | 28.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 24.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 47c | 21.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.