Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82e4eff22b3c881e187c2c7e75541d68bc91c849e8b34626677bcad3b3d2f15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Qingdao Hainiu FCof Shanghai Shenhua FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1e2…0d29backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 66c | 296.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 259.78$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 46c | 244.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 65c | 190$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 160.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 61c | 147.79$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 55c | 133.24$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 64c | 109.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 48c | 90.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…a410backed Shanghai Shenhua FC | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 60c | 48.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…1cedbacked Shanghai Shenhua FC | 40c | 41.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 78c | 28.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…2a49backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.