Asian League · resolved market
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2b39a5fd0b382ae1613e3b4d2d6d23766983559d9564fdeb910ea4f3797b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 2,468$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.53 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 73c | 1,243$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.05 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,077$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 32c | 747.49$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.81 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 735.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.46 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 63c | 652.4$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 651.48$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.31 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 41c | 499.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 43c | 450.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.15 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…0b3bbacked Over | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…00f4backed Over | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…6167backed Under | 18c | 290.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 54c | 266.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…4829backed Under | 64c | 199.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…895dbacked Over | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 33c | 166.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 33c | 153.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 149.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 28c | 136.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 104.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 84.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 63c | 83.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…fa8ebacked Under | 45c | 68.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 36c | 66.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…7cf2backed Over | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…bea0backed Under | 47c | 64.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 79c | 57.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 36c | 57.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 51c | 51.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 37c | 49.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…ef1abacked Over | 42c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 40c | 48.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 26c | 47.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Over | 61c | 47.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Under | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 44c | 43.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 42c | 41.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 36c | 41.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Over | 58c | 40.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 68c | 40.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Under | 43c | 38.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 33.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…cd85backed Under | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 30.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…54afbacked Over | 38c | 28.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Under | 63c | 27.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 24.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 50c | 20.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 17.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 72c | 15.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Over | 74c | 14.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)Shanghai Shenhua FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.