TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6597…895d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.85
Timberwolves vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$230.55
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+82%+$18.02
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
76ers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+76.5%+$43.35
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36.28
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$74.48
Pacers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Raptors vs. Nets: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+92.3%+$48
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$84.14
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
Grizzlies vs. Knicks: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+100%+$191
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$94.5
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$197.76
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Dota 2: Heroic vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$312
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.6
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Dota 2: Heroic vs Tearlaments (BO1)backed Tearlaments · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+150.2%+$127.71
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Tidebound (BO1)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+62.6%+$76.99
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1)backed OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Execration (BO1)backed Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1)backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+62.6%+$77
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+212.1%+$883.99
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$180.96
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.92
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.84
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.46
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Iraq vs. Venezuela: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$69.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.41
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$182
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.61
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+94%+$376.38
Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$14.14
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Florent Baxbacked Thomas Faurel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$137.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
FC København vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$449.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$36.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Santa Clara Broncosbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+132.6%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+91.9%+$229
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Frances Fitzgerald win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CR Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$416
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.