TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yellow Submarineof Level UP, Yellow Submarine
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine60c26,922$16,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,821.881,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed Level UP38c12,590$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.36051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…8ff2backed Level UP45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9847146.1%217 W · 254 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Level UP38c5,600$2,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1247541.3%31 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Yellow Submarine61c3,918$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.9980056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeb2…79eebacked Yellow Submarine60c3,473$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Level UP37c3,049$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.7733041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP41c1,900$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.471,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a8…3fb6backed Level UP17c1,794$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Level UP30c1,572$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2154246.7%253 W · 289 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP33c1,548$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8194442.3%399 W · 545 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Yellow Submarine80c1,532$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4847457.4%272 W · 202 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed Level UP40c1,509$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.73812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-75%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e8…0105backed Yellow Submarine55c1,428$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.82887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick57cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Level UP44c1,378$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.569235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP32c1,361$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.262,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Level UP27c1,258$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2748053.1%255 W · 225 L+25.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe00a…d1f4backed Level UP52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.991040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Level UP29c1,168$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3741055.1%226 W · 184 L+39.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Level UP36c1,154$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.111,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yellow Submarine64c1,126$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.8892846.2%429 W · 499 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Yellow Submarine73c1,058$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.8635361.2%216 W · 137 L-0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Level UP4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021333.3%71 W · 142 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+64.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed Level UP31c999.95$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9851544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Yellow Submarine78c784.89$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5843560.5%263 W · 172 L+43.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Level UP18c739.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5171142.6%303 W · 408 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Level UP34c730.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9354753.6%293 W · 254 L+22.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yellow Submarine55c686.67$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3094148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Yellow Submarine68c681.75$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9417757.6%102 W · 75 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c6…dcacbacked Level UP49c650$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4510653.8%57 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc890…c2ffbacked Yellow Submarine78c621.99$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Yellow Submarine61c610.08$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5914157.4%81 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Level UP38c595.23$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.8413943.2%60 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Yellow Submarine66c580.74$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.37361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Yellow Submarine55c555$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.7510961.5%67 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Level UP24c544.36$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.3514943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8aa…a3c7backed Yellow Submarine74c529.47$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Level UP34c525.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.581,25549.6%623 W · 632 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Yellow Submarine59c509.99$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.343452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Yellow Submarine50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25012149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Yellow Submarine54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23021146.9%99 W · 112 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Level UP41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9945940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Level UP67c479.41$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.2748843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Yellow Submarine62c468.8$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.84757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Yellow Submarine63c452.67$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.4861256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Yellow Submarine55c449.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7569552.2%363 W · 332 L+45.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Yellow Submarine65c433.04$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.1611758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked Yellow Submarine67c417.38$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f8…8c55backed Level UP41c400.87$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.64850%24 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Level UP43c382.29$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.043351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Level UP46c368.43$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4815650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Level UP39c357.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0899844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…4dd0backed Level UP14c357.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-66.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Level UP55c333.9$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18453757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP31c332.01$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.631,89447.7%903 W · 991 L+6.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yellow Submarine55c328.6$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.879935.4%35 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Level UP37c322.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8755751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb7e…9546backed Level UP22c321.21$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.042263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+75.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Yellow Submarine64c312.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9734667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Level UP35c304.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4123342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Level UP52c301.79$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9115848.1%76 W · 82 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Level UP41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12323347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Level UP25c296$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7424536.7%90 W · 155 L-14.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa672…6b31backed Yellow Submarine70c286.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.812259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Level UP16c281.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1218437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x926d…f416backed Level UP38c261.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed Yellow Submarine58c258.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5840844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Level UP42c238.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008847.7%42 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Level UP25c237.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.049954.5%54 W · 45 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Level UP26c236$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3626540.8%108 W · 157 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Level UP36c228.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8214643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Level UP34c224$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0514259.9%85 W · 57 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Level UP49c221$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.497634.2%26 W · 50 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Level UP23c220.93$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4790753.7%487 W · 420 L+50.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Level UP29c218.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.241,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Level UP47c211.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6597…895dbacked Yellow Submarine55c210$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73c…21f2backed Yellow Submarine55c209$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Level UP39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-38.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yellow Submarine68c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Level UP35c198.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.888447.6%40 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f63…9551backed Yellow Submarine62c192.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.724165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+15.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Level UP46c191.3$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a0…87e7backed Level UP37c186.31$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6710933%36 W · 73 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Yellow Submarine65c180.54$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6325259.1%149 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Yellow Submarine61c179.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.259154%319 W · 272 L+0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed Level UP30c178.75$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8912132.2%39 W · 82 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked Level UP37c175.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.499842.9%42 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed Yellow Submarine59c169.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9620949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked Yellow Submarine55c165.04$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.611090%9 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.43per pick47cpaid+142.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Level UP45c162.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.110643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Yellow Submarine58c158$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.9633549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d3…bab9backed Level UP42c157.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.146443.8%28 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Yellow Submarine67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.531865.1%207 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Level UP53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.561249.7%304 W · 308 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Level UP41c149.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253533.8%181 W · 354 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Level UP41c142.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5450353.9%271 W · 232 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Level UP19c142.68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4228336.4%103 W · 180 L+1.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked Yellow Submarine67c141.87$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.355745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d36…928dbacked Yellow Submarine63c141.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.