Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022a00ebcb11a279bb7fe3d652cea944e1893f08ffaa2731c281641d5cf7bb71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Level UPof Level UP, Yellow Submarine
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 29c | 7,960$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.61 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 4,321$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Level UP | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yellow Submarine | 63c | 2,255$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.83 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Level UP | 40c | 1,689$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.95 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine | 64c | 1,172$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Yellow Submarine | 57c | 957.89$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Level UP | 33c | 929.18$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.93 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 906.65$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Level UP | 37c | 892.75$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Level UP | 21c | 880.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.03 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Level UP | 42c | 835.95$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.95 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yellow Submarine | 69c | 728.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Level UP | 42c | 719.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.65 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Level UP | 35c | 717.52$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.82 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 700.1$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Level UP | 35c | 662.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.31 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Level UP | 46c | 618.97$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.23 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Level UP | 44c | 613.88$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Level UP | 33c | 608.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Level UP | 37c | 580.71$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.32 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Level UP | 41c | 575.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.39 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Level UP | 42c | 477.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…d109backed Yellow Submarine | 6c | 447.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Yellow Submarine | 74c | 409.92$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Yellow Submarine | 30c | 399.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Level UP | 40c | 391.15$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.69 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Level UP | 32c | 304$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Yellow Submarine | 50c | 299.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Level UP | 43c | 270$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.18 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Yellow Submarine | 75c | 266.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yellow Submarine | 78c | 256.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Level UP | 49c | 255.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.18 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Level UP | 29c | 252.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Level UP | 39c | 236$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed Level UP | 48c | 228.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Level UP | 42c | 201.27$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Level UP | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Level UP | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.3 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Level UP | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Level UP | 43c | 189.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Yellow Submarine | 61c | 164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…b2edbacked Yellow Submarine | 76c | 160$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 141.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Level UP | 48c | 138.58$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Yellow Submarine | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 135.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Level UP | 29c | 112$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Level UP | 19c | 110$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 108.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Yellow Submarine | 22c | 103.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Level UP | 24c | 94.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed Level UP | 48c | 94.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Level UP | 32c | 92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Level UP | 34c | 91.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Level UP | 40c | 87.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Level UP | 39c | 86.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Level UP | 23c | 84.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Level UP | 29c | 80$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Yellow Submarine | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8885…7712backed Level UP | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Level UP | 42c | 68.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Level UP | 41c | 68.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Level UP | 40c | 62.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 60.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Level UP | 40c | 56.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Level UP | 39c | 55.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Level UP | 32c | 55.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed Level UP | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Level UP | 39c | 52.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Level UP | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Level UP | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Yellow Submarine | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Level UP | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…8922backed Yellow Submarine | 58c | 29.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 28.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…1701backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 25.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Level UP | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Level UP | 44c | 24.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Yellow Submarine | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 1 PlayoffsYellow Submarine won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)Level UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.