TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe350…e494

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.47
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.74
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.8
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.42
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$48.51
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.2
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.46
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$52.16
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$9.22
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.86
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.22
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.22
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.66
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked MODUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.82
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 1 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$21.65
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.45
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+106.8%+$17.23
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winnerbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$10.13
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Nande+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.7
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Nande+4 - Game 1 Winnerbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.12
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$115.76
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.28
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX - Game 3 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Dota 2: Carstensz vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Carstensz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Execration - Game 1 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$21.09
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Execration vs Direborn - Game 2 Winnerbacked Direborn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Dota 2: Enjoy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+357.6%+$106.07
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$14.19
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+178.4%+$30.17
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.63
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.28
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.63
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$509.76
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$48.68
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.97
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.46
All 4 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.