TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Athleticsof Milwaukee Brewers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$168,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$171,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Athletics51c77,214$39,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,834.723948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers49c66,468$32,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,507.434,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Milwaukee Brewers49c19,388$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,50023846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Milwaukee Brewers49c9,859$4,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,814.442,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics51c9,662$4,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,717.592,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers55c9,220$5,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,033.518,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers49c9,004$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36811,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics42c6,952$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,027.5210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Athletics52c6,695$3,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.7117248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Athletics52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9921748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Athletics52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.2361351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers49c4,684$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.964,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers49c4,003$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.3444851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers36c3,124$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.929,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Athletics50c3,102$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55123538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Athletics52c3,049$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.286653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics51c3,046$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.921,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics51c3,041$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.181,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Milwaukee Brewers49c2,655$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.044,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics52c2,476$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.966,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers49c2,149$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,042.935,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics52c1,466$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.022,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers49c1,240$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.988,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletics51c1,239$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.116,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Athletics52c1,180$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Milwaukee Brewers26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9987750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers29c1,069$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Milwaukee Brewers49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.84837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics50c767.26$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.6357548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Milwaukee Brewers48c732.9$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.7928154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers48c716.27$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8129344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers47c701.96$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.793,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Athletics50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33570744.7%316 W · 391 L-22.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Milwaukee Brewers48c630$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.426948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers14c618.96$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.651,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Athletics52c576.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5213441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Milwaukee Brewers48c509.39$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.5175049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Athletics50c479.48$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7450751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Athletics53c447.53$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.828,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers37c444.73$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.074,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Athletics50c443.08$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5427254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Milwaukee Brewers51c418.47$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9614858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Athletics50c408.05$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0377951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Athletics52c403.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8524350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd791…2eadbacked Milwaukee Brewers51c379.07$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…7b09backed Athletics50c379$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics28c376.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.761,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xd2ed…7971backed Milwaukee Brewers51c375.34$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba5…6ff7backed Athletics50c375$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers38c356.96$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.915,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed Milwaukee Brewers48c326$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.488245.1%37 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e6…ad16backed Milwaukee Brewers49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507564%48 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Milwaukee Brewers48c299.93$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9769351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Milwaukee Brewers49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.521653.2%115 W · 101 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Milwaukee Brewers49c223.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.452,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ad…71acbacked Athletics52c207.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.697342.5%31 W · 42 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Milwaukee Brewers49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Athletics53c203.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8712848.4%62 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers48c199$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.523,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Athletics50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Athletics52c145.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.921,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Athletics52c137.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7930048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Athletics53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0867449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Milwaukee Brewers48c131$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Milwaukee Brewers26c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.817446%80 W · 94 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Athletics51c128$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.812,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba34…c745backed Athletics54c126.84$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.757055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Milwaukee Brewers49c116$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.841,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers48c108.84$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2449158.9%289 W · 202 L+30.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Milwaukee Brewers48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Athletics65c104$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.055,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Milwaukee Brewers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Milwaukee Brewers49c100.01$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3410559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc020…5edbbacked Milwaukee Brewers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4822954.6%125 W · 104 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Athletics51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…fcfbbacked Milwaukee Brewers48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816648.8%81 W · 85 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Milwaukee Brewers47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4758652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Milwaukee Brewers17c97.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.932,54545.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Athletics67c90.51$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad64…2f33backed Milwaukee Brewers49c89.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.916429.7%19 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-27.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Athletics50c88$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4431250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974d…bd82backed Milwaukee Brewers48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Milwaukee Brewers13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2443954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Milwaukee Brewers50c79.66$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Athletics53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7247848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers49c75$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7572154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Athletics39c69.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2269447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Milwaukee Brewers63c68.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4414353.1%76 W · 67 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Athletics51c64.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.981,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers49c64$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3646854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers25c62.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.753,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Milwaukee Brewers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Milwaukee Brewers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013565.2%88 W · 47 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3054455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Athletics55c61.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.825,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Milwaukee Brewers48c60.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.381,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletics52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Milwaukee Brewers50c59.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72055%11 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.