MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf2e4290c668d11b405fe08dc5b13b7e6b60ed6472ad39f4e5a7e5a2844d2d62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Athletics, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Athletics | 62c | 19,441$12,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,148.89 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 42c | 17,097$7,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,151.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 8,232$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 8,120$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 6,989$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.15 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Athletics | 77c | 5,182$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 28c | 4,523$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.32 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 3,583$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.49 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 28c | 3,160$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.12 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Athletics | 28c | 2,605$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.53 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 2,524$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 2,313$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.05 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 28c | 2,085$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.73 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Athletics | 28c | 1,781$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.61 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,566$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 1,458$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.85 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 1,221$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.54 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Athletics | 32c | 1,052$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.56 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 1,040$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…b5d2backed Athletics | 37c | 813.51$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 20c | 784.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Athletics | 29c | 660$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.6 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 648.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 584.61$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Athletics | 28c | 519.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 75c | 470.32$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.14 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Athletics | 36c | 464.66$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 446.8$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.63 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 404.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.62 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 344.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.39 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 342.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Athletics | 35c | 341.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 73c | 341.27$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Athletics | 29c | 336.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 310.85$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 304.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 283.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 281$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Athletics | 29c | 272.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Athletics | 28c | 220$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…e934backed Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 200.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Athletics | 52c | 180.88$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Athletics | 59c | 176.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Athletics | 43c | 170.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 27c | 162.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 158.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 31c | 157$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Athletics | 29c | 147.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Athletics | 28c | 140.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 138.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 50c | 138.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…ed49backed Athletics | 26c | 134.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 131$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.22 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 125.97$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 117.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 44c | 96.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Athletics | 52c | 96.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 29c | 92.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 73c | 90.28$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…e494backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 80.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 79.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 72.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Athletics | 37c | 68.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Athletics | 31c | 64.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 58.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 54.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics | 57c | 50.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 50.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 48.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 42.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 40.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 40.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 40.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 39.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Athletics | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…cdb2backed Athletics | 64c | 35.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 62cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Athletics | 71c | 30.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Athletics | 70c | 28.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 28.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Athletics | 70c | 25.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…8a98backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 25.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Athletics | 58c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Athletics | 44c | 23.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Athletics | 68c | 22.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 72c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 17.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 18.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 22.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Athletics (-4.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.