TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$423,010

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c349,503$166,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166,964.3844446.8%208 W · 236 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over52c90,000$46,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,20088446.3%409 W · 475 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over52c88,866$46,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,286.3811,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Over52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0006058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over53c35,000$18,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,45088349.3%435 W · 448 L-4.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Under47c34,085$16,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,019.7723948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,6001,30150.2%653 W · 648 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c17,214$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,064.174,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c17,062$8,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,094.184,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed Over52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c5,186$2,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.371,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c4,184$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.335,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Under47c4,008$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.9639047.4%185 W · 205 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c3,977$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.958,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Over53c3,367$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.161,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over58c3,152$1,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,316.178,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over53c3,145$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.2835643.5%155 W · 201 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over53c2,909$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.178,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over52c2,372$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.43,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Over52c2,036$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.4332351.7%167 W · 156 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c1,456$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.871,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.161,53848.6%747 W · 791 L-5.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over53c1,440$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.62,31151%1,179 W · 1,132 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over54c1,416$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.544,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c1,394$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.276,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under46c1,236$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.992,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4701,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over51c999.98$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.9971044.5%316 W · 394 L-23.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Under45c940.47$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3711848.3%57 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0922257.2%127 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under47c886.85$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0989053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over53c884$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.322,32949.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Under47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37625249.2%124 W · 128 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under48c734.24$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0727449.3%135 W · 139 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c660.27$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.7912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.526948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over52c548.5$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.283,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c507.38$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.79,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c471$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3792554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ae…dc88backed Over53c424$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.333852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Over52c421.07$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1229043.1%125 W · 165 L-12.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19230048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Over54c379.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7948354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Over53c353.09$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9514858.8%87 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under48c347.58$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.9413441%55 W · 79 L-12.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under46c219.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.21,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10066748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521e…8aa2backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over52c197$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.562,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c190.74$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.413,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over53c155$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.439253.6%210 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over54c153.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.512,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under46c153.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5710559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over54c148.07$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1143560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Under46c120$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.27644.7%34 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc78d…0bbdbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over54c112$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c8e…22c3backed Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+58.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe0ec…5c91backed Over53c103.77$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.771346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over53c103.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.011,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over55c102.53$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1457747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.671,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2342…12d6backed Over52c96.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4813853.6%74 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,20149.1%590 W · 611 L+20.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over54c92.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.661,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.596256.5%35 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe325…34d0backed Under49c91.31$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.981625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1577…a02abacked Over60c83.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.421060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4085949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.61,92817.2%331 W · 1,597 L-320.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under23c79.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.035,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7525850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Under48c69.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.661948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3062554.2%339 W · 286 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe997…f92ebacked Over54c63.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.279153.8%49 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.841637.5%156 W · 260 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.221956.6%124 W · 95 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fc5…9fcfbacked Over54c47.87$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.216749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over53c47.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Under48c46.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.512350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under46c45.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.362,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over54c45.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1127351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030848.1%148 W · 160 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Over54c41.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.211,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014645.9%67 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under48c41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.682524%6 W · 19 L-6.9wins-0.28per pick52cpaid-61.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over54c40.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7412257.4%70 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.840446.5%188 W · 216 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e00…d2bfbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745560%33 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under48c37.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.889639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under48c33.54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Over54c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1839151.9%203 W · 188 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff09…25abbacked Over53c31.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17dd…cb83backed Over53c31.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.