TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0ec…5c91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$505.93
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+659.1%+$1,007.46
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,065Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$155.39
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$122.73
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$44.81
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.48
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$87.11
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$374.66
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$48.77
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+130.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$167
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$46.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$132.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.