MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a72062c2008a62da644c433c5c01ed090d463eef4be17e7e7e860914566afb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof New York Yankees, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,451,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,426,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,451,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed New York Yankees | 50c | 465,933$232,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232,297.34 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 359,586$185,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,415.2 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees | 48c | 263,250$125,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,992.08 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 81,375$41,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,873.74 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 65,702$42,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,796.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408f…b2f4backed New York Yankees | 51c | 49,427$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed New York Yankees | 47c | 47,635$22,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,388.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 43,786$26,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,964.18 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 27,279$13,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,366.64 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 20,827$11,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,933.69 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…8f07backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 19,543$10,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,380.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 18,888$9,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,066.24 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 18,279$8,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,688 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Chicago Cubs | 74c | 16,046$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.95 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees | 43c | 15,144$6,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,501.64 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed New York Yankees | 29c | 15,077$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,372.42 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 13,944$7,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.62 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 13,206$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 13,068$6,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.31 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed New York Yankees | 23c | 12,943$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 12,830$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.1 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 12,443$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed New York Yankees | 33c | 12,230$4,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,077.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed New York Yankees | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees | 34c | 9,970$3,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 8,740$5,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.27 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 8,000$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,720 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed New York Yankees | 7c | 7,787$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.62 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 7,500$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Chicago Cubs | 75c | 6,770$5,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.12 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed New York Yankees | 50c | 6,105$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.26 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe8…ae27backed New York Yankees | 41c | 5,470$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 40c | 5,442$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 5,102$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.79 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago Cubs | 69c | 4,827$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.62 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 4,370$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.08 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Chicago Cubs | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.88 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 36c | 3,964$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 3,801$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.97 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Cubs | 70c | 3,667$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed New York Yankees | 34c | 3,377$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 3,260$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.99 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Chicago Cubs | 72c | 3,136$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.82 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed New York Yankees | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,931$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 2,719$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.22 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Yankees | 44c | 2,589$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.17 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 2,513$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.79 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked New York Yankees | 41c | 2,436$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.76 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Yankees | 49c | 2,390$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.16 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,337$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.76 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Chicago Cubs | 67c | 2,144$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.61 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees | 49c | 2,048$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.52 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked New York Yankees | 17c | 2,028$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.7 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked New York Yankees | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed New York Yankees | 46c | 1,886$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,790$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 1,769$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.88 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed New York Yankees | 48c | 1,713$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.24 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Chicago Cubs | 42c | 1,654$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.37 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,499$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.66 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…4797backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,408$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.28 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 1,330$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.27 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 1,255$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.96 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed New York Yankees | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed New York Yankees | 12c | 1,102$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Chicago Cubs | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.85 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Cubs | 69c | 1,000$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked New York Yankees | 51c | 999.07$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.24 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed New York Yankees | 29c | 977.28$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.41 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 942.36$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.99 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 942$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.06 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed New York Yankees | 39c | 936.45$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.06 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 870.87$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.7 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed New York Yankees | 37c | 868.19$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.31 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 849.87$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.79 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago Cubs | 73c | 843.18$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked New York Yankees | 42c | 802.08$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 784.31$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 784.16$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.4 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Chicago Cubs | 71c | 784$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.02 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 774.71$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.21 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chicago Cubs | 68c | 767.78$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.88 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed New York Yankees | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.