MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58fc3a5c01f8f21cb603c782d00749e60cd6619cb92fc6ad9dc7082b733f4a4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 54c | 216,404$116,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,399.82 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Over | 45c | 52,014$23,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,607.79 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 46c | 32,500$14,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,550 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 27,562$11,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,634.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 26,758$12,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,418.26 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 22,788$10,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,306.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 46c | 15,779$7,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,520.66 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 11,644$5,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Over | 51c | 6,471$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.59 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 48c | 6,114$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.03 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b8…3668backed Under | 53c | 3,563$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,873.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 47c | 3,200$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.67 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 2,724$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.23 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 51c | 2,525$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.25 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 2,429$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.56 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 43c | 2,385$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 2,130$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 2,030$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.67 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 1,950$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 47c | 1,872$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.4 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 1,771$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.1 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,706$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,641$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.05 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 1,529$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 47c | 1,492$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.92 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 1,267$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.39 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 58c | 1,266$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.55 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 1,065$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Under | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 58c | 883.08$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.19 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 46c | 862$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.48 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 45c | 723$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 695.42$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.19 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 678$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.51 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 55c | 637$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.35 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 618$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.72 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 47c | 590.7$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.63 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 42c | 527.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 458.37$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.52 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 46c | 404.42$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 48c | 331.12$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.18 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 56c | 319.67$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.09 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 48c | 299.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 45c | 250.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 62c | 240$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 50c | 220.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 40c | 214.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 194.1$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 47c | 185.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Under | 55c | 181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 163.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 46c | 153.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 149.68$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 48c | 149$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 146$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 131.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Under | 50c | 130.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 206 | 54.4%112 W · 94 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 58c | 126.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 45c | 117.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…a4a4backed Over | 26c | 116.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 46c | 106.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 45c | 100.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 50c | 99.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 46c | 95.07$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 50c | 91.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 54c | 88.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…15aabacked Over | 45c | 87.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 78c | 83.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 45c | 83.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…8973backed Under | 55c | 79.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 78c | 79.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 70 | 80%56 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 46c | 78.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 78.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Under | 44c | 77.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 43c | 71.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Over | 50c | 70.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 59c | 69.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 38c | 68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 58c | 63.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Under | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 125 | 75.2%94 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 46c | 61.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5this page
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubs won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 3.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.