TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf8f3…7e0b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 51 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3461.8%21 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Poprad: Matthias Ujvary vs Peter Sallaybacked Matthias Ujvary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.3
ITF Tianjin: Ku Keon Kang vs Toshiki Karigyobacked Toshiki Karigyo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,575Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$2,066.16
ITF Tianjin: Suk Ann vs Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikulbacked Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,671Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,671.45
ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Wilson Leitebacked Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Daniel Rinconbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11,661Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$6,787.82
ITF Tianjin: Hanlei Lu vs Seongwoo Chobacked Seongwoo Cho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,644Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,644.12
ITF Tianjin: Yihan Qu vs Michika Ozekibacked Michika Ozeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.96
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfilsbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,080
National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$320
National Bank Open: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Camila Osoriobacked Camila Osorio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,548Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,748.98
ITF Dublin: Vendula Valdmannova vs Amelia Rajeckibacked Vendula Valdmannova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.25
ITF Pitesti: Stefan Adrian Andreescu vs Radu Mihai Papoebacked Stefan Adrian Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.31
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Veljko Krstic vs Andrea De Marchibacked Andrea De Marchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,014Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$1,394.16
ITF Astana: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Grigory Shebekinbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,659Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$795.99
Los Cabos Open: Arthur Gea vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
ITF Brisbane: Amy Stevens vs Mutsumi Uemurabacked Mutsumi Uemura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$122.43
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$990
ITF Brisbane: Omar Jasika vs Moerani Bouzigebacked Omar Jasika · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$116.93
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,170
Inchauspe vs. Debru: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$209.79
Samsun: Kenta Miyoshi vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900
ITF Dublin: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Amelia Rajeckibacked Viktoria Hruncakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.77
ITF Astana: Daria Zelinskaya vs Victoria Milovanovabacked Victoria Milovanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,000
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,340
Liberec: Norbert Gombos vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,129.7
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$78
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,757Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,756.64
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,550
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,060Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,940
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,850
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,140
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,450
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,400
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,249Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$1,284.98
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,140
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$1,200
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$54
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$990
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,960Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$5,040
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,350
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$3,120
Detroit Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,700
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$3,239.29
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,300
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,620
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-11.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$1,379.97
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,849.99
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,390.92
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,375Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,125
Spread: Dallas Wings (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,439.95
Spread: New York Liberty (-5.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-12.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Toronto Tempo vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.02
Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$680
Will CF América win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,099.99
Spread: Grêmio FBPA (-1.5)backed Grêmio FBPA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,519.34
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$8,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$2,200.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: MH Maccabi Tel Aviv (-1.5)backed MH Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spread: Noah FA (-1.5)backed Noah FA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.