Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Daria Zelinskaya vs Victoria Milovanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86d3e1066e5c506364dfcc2fee1cea1b457d1a029b9dcb77f701cab5e79f35bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Milovanovaof Daria Zelinskaya, Victoria Milovanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Victoria Milovanova | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Zelinskaya | 21c | 9,085$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.08 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daria Zelinskaya | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 28c | 691.16$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Victoria Milovanova | 64c | 625.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.61 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Daria Zelinskaya | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Victoria Milovanova | 64c | 490$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Victoria Milovanova | 65c | 436.24$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Daria Zelinskaya | 30c | 195$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…c784backed Daria Zelinskaya | 40c | 194.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 28c | 167.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Victoria Milovanova | 60c | 159.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Daria Zelinskaya | 37c | 107.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Daria Zelinskaya | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Victoria Milovanova | 65c | 74.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Daria Zelinskaya | 46c | 53.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Victoria Milovanova | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed Victoria Milovanova | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…2c78backed Victoria Milovanova | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Victoria Milovanova | 78c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.