Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Amy Stevens vs Mutsumi Uemura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04670eba62705e4f7693a27edd9ebb1db338869916c54e5b743f29df0d531203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mutsumi Uemuraof Amy Stevens, Mutsumi Uemura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Amy Stevens | 20c | 3,085$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.39 | 251 | 44.6%112 W · 139 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mutsumi Uemura | 73c | 2,684$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Amy Stevens | 31c | 741.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.79 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Mutsumi Uemura | 76c | 647.53$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.41 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Amy Stevens | 24c | 563.5$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Mutsumi Uemura | 74c | 470.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Amy Stevens | 26c | 370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amy Stevens | 29c | 283.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Mutsumi Uemura | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Amy Stevens | 39c | 225.64$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Amy Stevens | 63c | 178$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Amy Stevens | 34c | 175.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Amy Stevens | 18c | 166.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Amy Stevens | 44c | 137.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Mutsumi Uemura | 60c | 93.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mutsumi Uemura | 68c | 70.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Mutsumi Uemura | 52c | 67.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…8efbbacked Amy Stevens | 20c | 67.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mutsumi Uemura | 76c | 53.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870b…3572backed Amy Stevens | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Amy Stevens | 41c | 35.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Amy Stevens | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mutsumi Uemura | 76c | 26.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Amy Stevens | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…a1b7backed Mutsumi Uemura | 62c | 19.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.