MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78bdd0292451fd2041616eb96114f931c661f262a51c3c1306913b7d33ca6e1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof St. Louis Cardinals, Toronto Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,214,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,188,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,214,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 350 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 291,824$113,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,811.49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 212,573$53,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,803.07 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 162,796$116,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,034.97 | 11,102 | 51.5%5,715 W · 5,387 L | +135.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 160,895$95,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,098.46 | 490 | 49%240 W · 250 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 52,926$41,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,320.7 | 4,555 | 49.2%2,239 W · 2,316 L | -9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 50,215$20,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,358.62 | 3,562 | 51%1,817 W · 1,745 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 45,000$27,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,550 | 992 | 49.9%495 W · 497 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 35,555$21,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,866.45 | 1,449 | 49.5%717 W · 732 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 30,152$18,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,759.28 | 933 | 53.9%503 W · 430 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 23,000$8,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,970 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 79c | 18,399$14,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835.52 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 17,498$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,698 | 50.2%853 W · 845 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 15,872$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.4 | 5,567 | 50.5%2,812 W · 2,755 L | +25.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x580d…eb6dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 13,170$7,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 11,915$8,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.28 | 4,427 | 47.5%2,101 W · 2,326 L | -77.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 9,190$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.76 | 986 | 45%444 W · 542 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb667…5548backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 8,489$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 8,379$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.76 | 3,139 | 48.2%1,514 W · 1,625 L | -10.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 20c | 8,128$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.3 | 8,304 | 46.2%3,840 W · 4,464 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 6,132$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.59 | 11,653 | 52.8%6,157 W · 5,496 L | +214.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 4,987$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.93 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 4,701$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.47 | 281 | 54.1%152 W · 129 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 4,561$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.07 | 634 | 43.5%276 W · 358 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 4,485$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.51 | 1,697 | 49.1%834 W · 863 L | +3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 3,948$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.96 | 8,484 | 47.9%4,062 W · 4,422 L | +79.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,866$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.67 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,613$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.07 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 3,229$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.83 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,800$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 483 | 48.4%234 W · 249 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 2,778$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.78 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 2,608$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.81 | 4,120 | 57.6%2,375 W · 1,745 L | +67.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 1,310 | 50.2%658 W · 652 L | +19.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 2,496$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.52 | 7,078 | 50.5%3,576 W · 3,502 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 2,136$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.63 | 9,891 | 46.4%4,594 W · 5,297 L | +40.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 2,101$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.83 | 4,534 | 49%2,220 W · 2,314 L | -41.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 2,050$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 2,029$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.12 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.98 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 1,981$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.31 | 3,467 | 51.2%1,775 W · 1,692 L | +105.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,951$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.39 | 2,200 | 40.2%884 W · 1,316 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 1,901$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 1,861$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 8,682 | 52.6%4,563 W · 4,119 L | +505.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,754$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.06 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,718$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.34 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…1d90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,658$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 332 | 56.3%187 W · 145 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 655 | 52.5%344 W · 311 L | +29.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,422$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.63 | 2,327 | 51.1%1,188 W · 1,139 L | +26.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,411$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.46 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,381$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.33 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,350$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 952 | 34.3%327 W · 625 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 1,204$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,202$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 1,193$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.5 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 1,134$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.38 | 908 | 46.5%422 W · 486 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,113$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.13 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,025$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 1,006$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.17 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 1,939 | 44.5%862 W · 1,077 L | -29.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 330 | 48.2%159 W · 171 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 310 | 47.4%147 W · 163 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 961$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 1,906 | 49.3%940 W · 966 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 8c | 942.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 4,445 | 45%2,001 W · 2,444 L | +87.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d6…513fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 893.65$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 840$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.8 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…6831backed Toronto Blue Jays | 80c | 813.77$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…4245backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 791.69$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.76 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 765.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.91 | 4,201 | 50.2%2,109 W · 2,092 L | +94.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…8e93backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 740.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 725.08$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.77 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 700.78$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.07 | 1,543 | 51.1%789 W · 754 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 700$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 689$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.71 | 1,548 | 48.6%753 W · 795 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 688.44$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 296 | 49.7%147 W · 149 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 681.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…8c11backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 608.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 592.8$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.05 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 586.4$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.01 | 2,077 | 39.3%817 W · 1,260 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 580$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 318 | 30.8%98 W · 220 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 573.33$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 550$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 536.59$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.64 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Toronto Blue Jays | 62c | 517.72$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.94 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 500$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.61 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…cfccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue JaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.